部分线性时间序列模型的统一规格检验

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Shuang Sun , Zening Song , Xiaojun Song
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于残差标记经验过程,提出了克拉梅尔-冯-米塞斯检验和 Kolmogorov-Smirnov 检验,以正确规范部分线性时间序列模型中的非参数成分。这些检验是统一的,即在计算残差(其中 ν>1/4)时,不同 nν 一致性估计器在空值下的残差标记经验过程的渐近分布是不变的。此外,无论使用哪种估计器,残差标记经验过程在局部替代序列下都具有相同的幂特性。通过投影法,这些特征还可以使用计算方便的乘数引导法来近似检验统计量的统一空分布。模拟结果表明,所提方法的有限样本性能令人满意。此外,还重点介绍了在 ARCH-X 模型中验证条件方差参数形式的应用,以及对富时 100 指数收益序列条件方差的实证分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unified specification tests in partially linear time series models
Based on a residual marked empirical process, Cramér–von Mises and Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests are proposed for the correct specification of the nonparametric components in partially linear time series models. The tests are unified in the sense that the asymptotic distribution of residual marked empirical process is invariant across different nν-consistent estimators in calculating residuals (where ν>1/4) under the null. In addition, the residual marked empirical process has the same power property under the sequence of local alternatives regardless of the estimators used. Achieved through a projection method, these features also enable using a computationally convenient multiplier bootstrap to approximate the unified null distributions of the test statistics. Simulations show satisfactory finite-sample performance of the proposed method. The application to validate the parametric form of conditional variance in the ARCH-X model is also highlighted, along with an empirical analysis of the conditional variance of the FTSE 100 index return series.
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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