{"title":"部分线性时间序列模型的统一规格检验","authors":"Shuang Sun , Zening Song , Xiaojun Song","doi":"10.1016/j.csda.2024.108074","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Based on a residual marked empirical process, Cramér–von Mises and Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests are proposed for the correct specification of the nonparametric components in partially linear time series models. The tests are unified in the sense that the asymptotic distribution of residual marked empirical process is invariant across different <span><math><msup><mrow><mi>n</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>ν</mi></mrow></msup></math></span>-consistent estimators in calculating residuals (where <span><math><mi>ν</mi><mo>></mo><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn>4</mn></math></span>) under the null. In addition, the residual marked empirical process has the same power property under the sequence of local alternatives regardless of the estimators used. Achieved through a projection method, these features also enable using a computationally convenient multiplier bootstrap to approximate the unified null distributions of the test statistics. Simulations show satisfactory finite-sample performance of the proposed method. The application to validate the parametric form of conditional variance in the ARCH-X model is also highlighted, along with an empirical analysis of the conditional variance of the FTSE 100 index return series.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Unified specification tests in partially linear time series models\",\"authors\":\"Shuang Sun , Zening Song , Xiaojun Song\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.csda.2024.108074\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Based on a residual marked empirical process, Cramér–von Mises and Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests are proposed for the correct specification of the nonparametric components in partially linear time series models. The tests are unified in the sense that the asymptotic distribution of residual marked empirical process is invariant across different <span><math><msup><mrow><mi>n</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>ν</mi></mrow></msup></math></span>-consistent estimators in calculating residuals (where <span><math><mi>ν</mi><mo>></mo><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn>4</mn></math></span>) under the null. In addition, the residual marked empirical process has the same power property under the sequence of local alternatives regardless of the estimators used. Achieved through a projection method, these features also enable using a computationally convenient multiplier bootstrap to approximate the unified null distributions of the test statistics. Simulations show satisfactory finite-sample performance of the proposed method. The application to validate the parametric form of conditional variance in the ARCH-X model is also highlighted, along with an empirical analysis of the conditional variance of the FTSE 100 index return series.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":1,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":16.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947324001580\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"化学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947324001580","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Unified specification tests in partially linear time series models
Based on a residual marked empirical process, Cramér–von Mises and Kolmogorov–Smirnov tests are proposed for the correct specification of the nonparametric components in partially linear time series models. The tests are unified in the sense that the asymptotic distribution of residual marked empirical process is invariant across different -consistent estimators in calculating residuals (where ) under the null. In addition, the residual marked empirical process has the same power property under the sequence of local alternatives regardless of the estimators used. Achieved through a projection method, these features also enable using a computationally convenient multiplier bootstrap to approximate the unified null distributions of the test statistics. Simulations show satisfactory finite-sample performance of the proposed method. The application to validate the parametric form of conditional variance in the ARCH-X model is also highlighted, along with an empirical analysis of the conditional variance of the FTSE 100 index return series.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.