Chlorophyll-a interannual and seasonal variability in Panay Gulf: Identification of potential productive sites in the municipal waters and offshore blooms aided by water currents

Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) is often used as a substitute for marine primary productivity measurements in fishing grounds. Panay Gulf stands as one of the Philippines’ vital fishing grounds, however, there are limited studies on its Chl-a interannual and seasonal variability. As such, this study used remotely sensed Chl-a data from 2017 to 2023 to assess areas with high Chl-a concentrations, and high primary productivity. The relationship of Chl-a to location, month, year, and water current variables was evaluated using a generalized additive model (GAM). Chl-a value of >10 mg.m⁻³ was observed approximately <6.5, <2 km, and <1 km from the coast of Negros, Guimaras, and Panay Island respectively. During the Northeast Monsoon, short-term offshore pockets with elevated Chl-a levels were noted 13–24 km from the coast of Binalbagan, Negros Occidental that function as brief feeding grounds for marine organisms. These Chl-a pockets originated from the coast of Negros Occidental and were advected by the water currents to the center of the gulf. Furthermore, 2017 and 2022 have the highest Chl-a value in Panay Gulf, coinciding with the region's seasonal high fisheries production. Major peaks were regularly observed in January and December when offshore Chl-a pockets were present. A minor peak was observed in July corresponding to the Southwest Monsoon season and attributed to summer blooms. The lowest Chl-a values were observed in September during the transition months. Furthermore, high Chl-a values were found in low current speed near the coast and water moving west and southwest during the Northeast Monsoon. This study is the first to evaluate the Chl-a dynamics in Panay Gulf, which is valuable information to understand the influence of the environment on marine productivity. This study may prompt the local government to intensify monitoring efforts and coastal protection in these valuable areas within the municipal waters.