对集体行动和抗议浪潮作出镇压反应的数学模型。

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-10-19 DOI:10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111970

V. Volpert

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引用次数: 0

摘要

国家与社会之间错综复杂的相互作用可能会助长反对意见，并促使集体行动成为一种抗议方式。当国家对这种集体行动做出镇压性反应时，其目的是破坏这种集体行动，使其成本上升。通过微分方程建立的镇压反应与集体行动相关的数学模型，有助于对两者的动态互动进行深入分析。建模结果表明，镇压性制度可能表现出持续性、振荡模式或不稳定性，有可能过渡到替代性制度。这一建模框架提供了一种方法，可用于辨别各种因素对镇压性政权动态的影响，并就不同国家在其特定历史时期出现的抗议周期提供建模见解。

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Mathematical model of repressive response to collective action and protest waves

The intricate interplay between the state and society may foster opposition and prompt collective action as a mode of protest. When the state responds repressively to such collective action, it aims to undermine it escalating its costs. A mathematical model relating the repressive response to collective action, articulated through differential equations, facilitates a thorough analysis of their dynamic interaction. Modelling outcomes indicate that repressive regimes may exhibit sustained persistence, oscillatory patterns, or destabilization, potentially transitioning into alternative regimes. This modelling framework offers a means to discern the impact of diverse factors on the dynamics of repressive regimes and to provide modelling insight on the emergence of cycles of protest observed in different countries during certain periods of their history.

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.