Is axillary web syndrome a risk factor for breast cancer-related lymphedema of the upper extremity? A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Purpose: To systematically review the available literature to determine if axillary web syndrome (AWS) is a risk factor for breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL) of the upper extremity.

Methods: The study is Prospero-registered (ID CRD42024508169) and follows PRISMA guidelines. Ovid MEDLINE, PubMED, CINAHL, Embase, clinicaltrials.gov and the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform were searched February 24, 2024. Original studies including a cohort of females > 18 years of age diagnosed with AWS after breast cancer surgery and assessing BCRL outcome were included. Scoping, mapping, systematic or qualitative reviews, dissertations without peer-review and conference abstracts were excluded. Methodological quality was assessed using the Modified Downs and Black Checklist and overall certainty in the body of evidence was assessed using Cochrane's GRADE criteria (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation).

Results: Nine cohort studies representing 3218 participants were included. The median incidence of AWS and BCRL was 31.79% (IQR 8.90%) and 14.29% (IQR 19.01%), respectively, across all studies. Pooled analysis indicated an odds ratio of 1.19 (95% confidence interval 0.60,2.37), with substantial heterogeneity across studies (Chi² p < 0.0001, I² = 82%). Methodological quality of the included studies was poor to fair, and there was very low certainty evidence indicating no difference in AWS for BCRL risk. The strongest study included, found that AWS more than doubles BCRL risk in the upper extremity.

Conclusion: The available evidence base cannot definitively determine whether AWS imparts risk of BCRL. AWS should be considered a potential risk factor for BCRL, until definitive conclusions from future research are available.