过去对当前关切的回答。前现代的过去对 21 世纪政策规划者的意义:对该领域现状的评论

John Haldon, Lee Mordechai, Andrew Dugmore, Merle Eisenberg, Georgina Endfield, Adam Izdebski, Rowan Jackson, Luke Kemp, Inga Labuhn, Thomas McGovern, Sarah Metcalfe, Kathleen D. Morrison, Timothy Newfield, Benjamin Trump
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引用次数: 0

摘要

历史如何与现在或未来相关?多年来,世界各国政府一直利用历史为各个领域的规划和决策提供依据,但最近,随着各国政府努力应对气候变化影响带来的日益复杂的挑战,历史的重要性再次凸显。然而,确定 "过去的经验教训 "并不简单。特别是在涉及历史结构和社会进程的重大问题上,建立精确的因果关系是复杂的,而且需要进行解释,因此专家之间很难达成共识。第二大挑战是如何利用历史。在某些情况下,历史先例可以而且确实在帮助制定应对当地环境挑战的新战略方面发挥了作用。在国家层面,政策制定者和政治家经常从过去的历史中寻找灵感、指导或理由。在这两方面,所选择的案例和范例往往具有高度的选择性,并倾向于与先前存在的假设保持一致。本文简要回顾了气候变化及相关环境和可持续性问题背景下的这些挑战,评论了该领域的近期工作,并为历史学家提出了一些前进的方向。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Past Answers to Present Concerns. The Relevance of the Premodern Past for 21st Century Policy Planners: Comments on the State of the Field
How is history relevant to the present, or indeed the future? Governments around the world have used history to inform planning and decision‐making in various fields for years, but more recently it has taken on a renewed importance as governments grapple with increasingly complex challenges arising from the impacts of climatic change. Yet identifying “lessons from the past” is not straightforward. Especially in the case of big questions about historical structures and social processes, establishing precise causal relationships is complex and interpretive, making consensus difficult among specialists. A second major challenge arises over the uses of history. Historical precedent can and does play a role in some contexts in helping formulate new strategies for addressing local environmental challenges. At the national level policy‐makers and politicians often look to the past for inspiration, guidance, or justification. In both respects, the cases and examples chosen are often highly selective and tend to align with pre‐existing assumptions. This article briefly reviews these challenges within the context of climate change and associated environmental and sustainability issues, comments on recent work in the field, and suggests some ways forward for historians.
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