{"title":"平均分摊和分担长寿风险,又称 \"管理人能否帮助猫剥皮\"?","authors":"Jan Dhaene , Moshe A. Milevsky","doi":"10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.09.003","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper is concerned with the mathematical problem of allocating longevity-linked fund payouts in a pool where participants differ in both wealth (contributions) and health (mortality), particularly when these groups are relatively small in size. In other words, we offer a modelling framework for distributing longevity-risk pools' income and benefits (or “tontine winnings”) when participants are heterogeneous. Similar to the nascent literature on decentralized risk sharing (DRS), there are several equally plausible arrangements for sharing benefits (a.k.a. “skinning the tontine cat”) among survivors. We argue that the selected rule may depend on the extent of social cohesion within the longevity risk pool, ranging from solidarity and altruism to pure individualism. And, if actuarial fairness is a concern, we suggest introducing an administrator – which differs from a guarantor – to make the tontine pool payouts collectively actuarial fair. Fairness is in the sense that the group of participants will on average receive the same benefits as they collectively invested; and we provide the mathematical framework to implement that suggestion. One thing is for certain: actuarial science cannot offer design uniqueness for longevity-contingent claims; only a consistent methodology.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54974,"journal":{"name":"Insurance Mathematics & Economics","volume":"119 ","pages":"Pages 238-250"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Egalitarian pooling and sharing of longevity risk a.k.a. can an administrator help skin the tontine cat?\",\"authors\":\"Jan Dhaene , Moshe A. Milevsky\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.09.003\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper is concerned with the mathematical problem of allocating longevity-linked fund payouts in a pool where participants differ in both wealth (contributions) and health (mortality), particularly when these groups are relatively small in size. In other words, we offer a modelling framework for distributing longevity-risk pools' income and benefits (or “tontine winnings”) when participants are heterogeneous. Similar to the nascent literature on decentralized risk sharing (DRS), there are several equally plausible arrangements for sharing benefits (a.k.a. “skinning the tontine cat”) among survivors. We argue that the selected rule may depend on the extent of social cohesion within the longevity risk pool, ranging from solidarity and altruism to pure individualism. And, if actuarial fairness is a concern, we suggest introducing an administrator – which differs from a guarantor – to make the tontine pool payouts collectively actuarial fair. Fairness is in the sense that the group of participants will on average receive the same benefits as they collectively invested; and we provide the mathematical framework to implement that suggestion. One thing is for certain: actuarial science cannot offer design uniqueness for longevity-contingent claims; only a consistent methodology.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54974,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Insurance Mathematics & Economics\",\"volume\":\"119 \",\"pages\":\"Pages 238-250\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Insurance Mathematics & Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016766872400101X\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Insurance Mathematics & Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016766872400101X","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Egalitarian pooling and sharing of longevity risk a.k.a. can an administrator help skin the tontine cat?
This paper is concerned with the mathematical problem of allocating longevity-linked fund payouts in a pool where participants differ in both wealth (contributions) and health (mortality), particularly when these groups are relatively small in size. In other words, we offer a modelling framework for distributing longevity-risk pools' income and benefits (or “tontine winnings”) when participants are heterogeneous. Similar to the nascent literature on decentralized risk sharing (DRS), there are several equally plausible arrangements for sharing benefits (a.k.a. “skinning the tontine cat”) among survivors. We argue that the selected rule may depend on the extent of social cohesion within the longevity risk pool, ranging from solidarity and altruism to pure individualism. And, if actuarial fairness is a concern, we suggest introducing an administrator – which differs from a guarantor – to make the tontine pool payouts collectively actuarial fair. Fairness is in the sense that the group of participants will on average receive the same benefits as they collectively invested; and we provide the mathematical framework to implement that suggestion. One thing is for certain: actuarial science cannot offer design uniqueness for longevity-contingent claims; only a consistent methodology.
期刊介绍:
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes leading research spanning all fields of actuarial science research. It appears six times per year and is the largest journal in actuarial science research around the world.
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics is an international academic journal that aims to strengthen the communication between individuals and groups who develop and apply research results in actuarial science. The journal feels a particular obligation to facilitate closer cooperation between those who conduct research in insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics, and practicing actuaries who are interested in the implementation of the results. To this purpose, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes high-quality articles of broad international interest, concerned with either the theory of insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics or the inventive application of it, including empirical or experimental results. Articles that combine several of these aspects are particularly considered.