航空互联互通与经济发展之间的关系:2000-2019 年不平等演变的比较分析

Xiaoqian Sun , Sebastian Wandelt , Anming Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

过去几十年来,航空客运和货运需求大幅增长。然而,考虑到联合国在 2015 年制定的可持续发展目标,尤其是与可持续和公平利用资源以及减少国家间不平等有关的目标,这种增长可能会带来一些问题。本研究从不同角度讨论了各国航空互联互通的不平等问题,涵盖了基于拓扑结构和基于时间表的互联互通指标。我们重点研究了 2000 年至 2019 年(即 COVID-19 大流行影响之前)各国的连通性变化。结果表明,我们的航空系统由西欧和北美的几个高度发达的国家主导。虽然这种主导地位正在逐渐削弱,主要原因是中东航空枢纽的出现以及中国作为亚洲航空枢纽的作用,但仍需进一步努力实现航空基础设施的同质化。此外,国家间的航班连通性似乎与人类发展指数的增长值相关,但与国家间潜在的旅行需求并无明显关联。最后,对网络引起的连通性不平等进行的详细分析显示,各国之间的中心度分布最不平等,但接近中心度分布最平等。我们相信,我们的研究有助于更好地理解可持续航空规划,并提出了有关实现可持续发展目标的重要政策问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the relationship between air connectivity and economic development: A comparative analysis of inequality evolution for 2000–2019
Throughout the past decades, aviation has experienced a tremendous growth of passenger and cargo demand. This growth may come with problems however, when considering the Sustainable Development Goals set by the United Nations in 2015, particularly those related to the sustainable and fair use of resources and reduction of inequalities among countries. This study discusses the air connectivity inequalities of countries from various perspectives, covering topology-based and schedule-based connectivity indicators. We focus on the connectivity changes of countries between the years 2000 and 2019, i.e., before the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Results indicate that our aviation system is dominated by a few highly-developed countries in Western Europe and Northern America. While this dominance is gradually weakened, mainly due to the emergence of aviation hubs in the Middle East and the role of China as a hub in Asia, there need to be more efforts towards a homogeneous aviation infrastructure. Moreover, the flight connectivity between countries appears to be correlated to the Human Development Index growth value, but not significantly correlated with the potential travel demand between countries. Finally, detailed analysis on network-induced inequalities of connectivity reveal that countries are most unequally distributed concerning betweenness centrality but most equally according to closeness centrality. We believe that our study contributes towards a better understanding of sustainable aviation planning and raises important policy issues concerning the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals.
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