Predictability of adult patient medical emergency condition from triage vital signs and comorbidities: a single-center, observational study.

Background: Vital signs and comorbid diseases are the first information evaluated in patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). In most EDs, triage of patients takes place with vital signs and admission complaints only. Comorbidities are generally underestimated when determining the patient's status at the triage area. This study aims to assess the relationship between initial vital signs, comorbid diseases, and medical emergency conditions (MEC) in patients admitted to the ED.

Methods: This prospective study was designed as a single-center observational study, including patients admitted to a tertiary ED between 16.06.2022 and 09.09.2022. Patients younger than 18, readmitted to the ED within 24 h, or absence of vital signs due to cardiac arrest were excluded from the study. Vital signs and comorbid diseases of all patients were recorded. The mortality within 24 h, the need for intensive care unit admission, emergency surgery, and life-saving procedures were considered "medical emergency conditions". The role of vital signs and comorbid diseases in predicting emergencies was analyzed by binary logistic regression.

Results: A total of 10,022 patients were included in the study; 5056 (50.4%) were female, and 4966 (49.6%) were male. Six hundred four patients presented with an MEC. All vital signs -except diastolic hypertension and tachycardia- and comorbidities were found statistically significant. Hypoxia (Odd's Ratio [OR]: 1.73), diastolic hypotension (OR: 3.71), tachypnea (OR: 8.09), and tachycardia (OR: 1.61) were associated with MECs. Hemiplegia (OR: 5.7), leukemia (OR: 4.23), and moderate-severe liver disease (OR: 2.99) were the most associated comorbidities with MECs. In our study, an MEC was detected in 3.6% (186 patients) of the patients with no abnormal vital signs and without any comorbidities.

Conclusion: Among the vital signs, hypoxia, diastolic hypotension, tachypnea, and tachycardia should be considered indicators of an MEC. Hemiplegia, leukemia, and moderate-severe liver disease are the most relevant comorbidities that may accompany the MECs.