了解 2022 年超额死亡率：COVID-19 和热浪对意大利老年人口的双重影响。

IF 3.8 2区医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

Health & Place Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI:10.1016/j.healthplace.2024.103357

Emiliano Ceccarelli , Giada Minelli , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Marco Martuzzi

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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本研究中，我们采用了一种综合方法来模拟 COVID-19 流行病和热浪对全因超额死亡率的并发影响。我们的调查发现了超额死亡率的明显高峰，尤其是在 80 岁及以上的人群中，并揭示了 2022 年夏季意大利的超额温度（ET）与超额死亡率之间存在很强的正相关性。此外，我们还发现 COVID-19 在住院治疗中发挥了显著作用，表现出地区差异，尤其是在冬季。利用功能数据回归，我们对整个 2022 年在意大利观察到的超额死亡率趋势提供了可靠而一致的见解。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

Understanding excess mortality in 2022: The dual impact of COVID-19 and heatwaves on the Italian elderly population

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Understanding excess mortality in 2022: The dual impact of COVID-19 and heatwaves on the Italian elderly population

In this study, we employ a comprehensive approach to model the concurrent effects of the COVID-19 epidemic and heatwaves on all-cause excess mortality. Our investigation uncovers distinct peaks in excess mortality, notably among individuals aged 80 years and older, revealing a strong positive correlation with excess temperatures (ET) during the summer of 2022 in Italy. Furthermore, we identify a notable role played by COVID-19 hospitalizations, exhibiting regional disparities, particularly during the winter months. Leveraging functional data regression, we offer robust and coherent insights into the excess mortality trends observed in Italy throughout 2022.

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