{"title":"执业护士计划招生趋势和预测","authors":"Marcy Ainslie EdD, APRN, FNP-BC , Esmaeil Bahalkeh PhD , Mary Beth Bigley DrPH, ANP-BC, FAAN","doi":"10.1016/j.profnurs.2024.09.007","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>As the fastest growing segment of the healthcare workforce, understanding NP enrollment is vital.</div></div><div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>This work aimed to guide healthcare workforce forethought, academic planning, and policy initiatives.</div></div><div><h3>Method</h3><div>This secondary data analysis investigated nurse practitioner (NP) program enrollment trends from 2013 to 2022, including sub-analyses of master's versus doctoral enrollment, clinical tracks (acute care, primary care, psychiatric mental health), and enrollment status (part-time vs. full-time). An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) projection modeling is used to forecast enrollment for four years, 2023–2026.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div><ul><li><span>•</span><span><div>A shift toward Doctor of Nursing Practice (DNP) NP program availability and adoption.</div></span></li><li><span>•</span><span><div>Part-time NP student enrollment is the preferred enrollment status across NP tracks through 2026.</div></span></li><li><span>•</span><span><div>Robust growth demonstrated and predicted in psychiatric mental health NP programs.</div></span></li><li><span>•</span><span><div>An expectation that acute care enrollment will recover post-pandemic, while primary care faces a more complex trajectory.</div></span></li></ul></div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Increased enrollments in doctoral NP programs, visible in DNP NP program and enrollment growth, may offer advantages for the healthcare workforce. Part-time enrollment prevalence requires attention in workforce planning due to the potential for extended graduation timelines. These findings hopefully will lead to an effective healthcare response to meet the demand for high-quality care in a changing landscape.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50077,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Professional Nursing","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Nurse practitioner program enrollment trends and predictions\",\"authors\":\"Marcy Ainslie EdD, APRN, FNP-BC , Esmaeil Bahalkeh PhD , Mary Beth Bigley DrPH, ANP-BC, FAAN\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.profnurs.2024.09.007\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>As the fastest growing segment of the healthcare workforce, understanding NP enrollment is vital.</div></div><div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>This work aimed to guide healthcare workforce forethought, academic planning, and policy initiatives.</div></div><div><h3>Method</h3><div>This secondary data analysis investigated nurse practitioner (NP) program enrollment trends from 2013 to 2022, including sub-analyses of master's versus doctoral enrollment, clinical tracks (acute care, primary care, psychiatric mental health), and enrollment status (part-time vs. full-time). An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) projection modeling is used to forecast enrollment for four years, 2023–2026.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div><ul><li><span>•</span><span><div>A shift toward Doctor of Nursing Practice (DNP) NP program availability and adoption.</div></span></li><li><span>•</span><span><div>Part-time NP student enrollment is the preferred enrollment status across NP tracks through 2026.</div></span></li><li><span>•</span><span><div>Robust growth demonstrated and predicted in psychiatric mental health NP programs.</div></span></li><li><span>•</span><span><div>An expectation that acute care enrollment will recover post-pandemic, while primary care faces a more complex trajectory.</div></span></li></ul></div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Increased enrollments in doctoral NP programs, visible in DNP NP program and enrollment growth, may offer advantages for the healthcare workforce. Part-time enrollment prevalence requires attention in workforce planning due to the potential for extended graduation timelines. These findings hopefully will lead to an effective healthcare response to meet the demand for high-quality care in a changing landscape.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50077,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Professional Nursing\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Professional Nursing\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S875572232400156X\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"NURSING\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Professional Nursing","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S875572232400156X","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"NURSING","Score":null,"Total":0}
Nurse practitioner program enrollment trends and predictions
Background
As the fastest growing segment of the healthcare workforce, understanding NP enrollment is vital.
Purpose
This work aimed to guide healthcare workforce forethought, academic planning, and policy initiatives.
Method
This secondary data analysis investigated nurse practitioner (NP) program enrollment trends from 2013 to 2022, including sub-analyses of master's versus doctoral enrollment, clinical tracks (acute care, primary care, psychiatric mental health), and enrollment status (part-time vs. full-time). An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) projection modeling is used to forecast enrollment for four years, 2023–2026.
Results
•
A shift toward Doctor of Nursing Practice (DNP) NP program availability and adoption.
•
Part-time NP student enrollment is the preferred enrollment status across NP tracks through 2026.
•
Robust growth demonstrated and predicted in psychiatric mental health NP programs.
•
An expectation that acute care enrollment will recover post-pandemic, while primary care faces a more complex trajectory.
Conclusion
Increased enrollments in doctoral NP programs, visible in DNP NP program and enrollment growth, may offer advantages for the healthcare workforce. Part-time enrollment prevalence requires attention in workforce planning due to the potential for extended graduation timelines. These findings hopefully will lead to an effective healthcare response to meet the demand for high-quality care in a changing landscape.
期刊介绍:
The Journal will accept articles that focus on baccalaureate and higher degree nursing education, educational research, policy related to education, and education and practice partnerships. Reports of original work, research, reviews, insightful descriptions, and policy papers focusing on baccalaureate and graduate nursing education will be published.