Christian T. Wild, Samuel B. Kachuck, Adrian Luckman, Karen E. Alley, Meghan A. Sharp, Haylee Smith, Scott W. Tyler, Christopher Kratt, Tiago S. Dotto, Daniel Price, Keith W. Nicholls, Suzanne L. Bevan, Gabriela Collao-Barrios, Atsuhiro Muto, Martin Truffer, Ted A. Scambos, Karen J. Heywood, Erin C. Pettit, the TARSAN team
{"title":"尽管基底融化率较低,但裂谷扩展预示着斯怀兹东部冰架的最后一幕","authors":"Christian T. Wild, Samuel B. Kachuck, Adrian Luckman, Karen E. Alley, Meghan A. Sharp, Haylee Smith, Scott W. Tyler, Christopher Kratt, Tiago S. Dotto, Daniel Price, Keith W. Nicholls, Suzanne L. Bevan, Gabriela Collao-Barrios, Atsuhiro Muto, Martin Truffer, Ted A. Scambos, Karen J. Heywood, Erin C. Pettit, the TARSAN team","doi":"10.1017/jog.2024.64","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Rift propagation, rather than basal melt, drives the destabilization and disintegration of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf. Since 2016, rifts have episodically advanced throughout the central ice-shelf area, with rapid propagation events occurring during austral spring. The ice shelf's speed has increased by ~70% during this period, transitioning from a rate of 1.65 m d<span>−1</span> in 2019 to 2.85 m d<span>−1</span> by early 2023 in the central area. The increase in longitudinal strain rates near the grounding zone has led to full-thickness rifts and melange-filled gaps since 2020. A recent sea-ice break out has accelerated retreat at the western calving front, effectively separating the ice shelf from what remained of its northwestern pinning point. Meanwhile, a distributed set of phase-sensitive radar measurements indicates that the basal melting rate is generally small, likely due to a widespread robust ocean stratification beneath the ice–ocean interface that suppresses basal melt despite the presence of substantial oceanic heat at depth. These observations in combination with damage modeling show that, while ocean forcing is responsible for triggering the current West Antarctic ice retreat, the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf is experiencing dynamic feedbacks over decadal timescales that are driving ice-shelf disintegration, now independent of basal melt.</p>","PeriodicalId":15981,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Glaciology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Rift propagation signals the last act of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf despite low basal melt rates\",\"authors\":\"Christian T. Wild, Samuel B. Kachuck, Adrian Luckman, Karen E. Alley, Meghan A. Sharp, Haylee Smith, Scott W. Tyler, Christopher Kratt, Tiago S. Dotto, Daniel Price, Keith W. Nicholls, Suzanne L. Bevan, Gabriela Collao-Barrios, Atsuhiro Muto, Martin Truffer, Ted A. Scambos, Karen J. Heywood, Erin C. Pettit, the TARSAN team\",\"doi\":\"10.1017/jog.2024.64\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Rift propagation, rather than basal melt, drives the destabilization and disintegration of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf. Since 2016, rifts have episodically advanced throughout the central ice-shelf area, with rapid propagation events occurring during austral spring. The ice shelf's speed has increased by ~70% during this period, transitioning from a rate of 1.65 m d<span>−1</span> in 2019 to 2.85 m d<span>−1</span> by early 2023 in the central area. The increase in longitudinal strain rates near the grounding zone has led to full-thickness rifts and melange-filled gaps since 2020. A recent sea-ice break out has accelerated retreat at the western calving front, effectively separating the ice shelf from what remained of its northwestern pinning point. Meanwhile, a distributed set of phase-sensitive radar measurements indicates that the basal melting rate is generally small, likely due to a widespread robust ocean stratification beneath the ice–ocean interface that suppresses basal melt despite the presence of substantial oceanic heat at depth. These observations in combination with damage modeling show that, while ocean forcing is responsible for triggering the current West Antarctic ice retreat, the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf is experiencing dynamic feedbacks over decadal timescales that are driving ice-shelf disintegration, now independent of basal melt.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15981,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Glaciology\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Glaciology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.64\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Glaciology","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.64","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
Rift propagation signals the last act of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf despite low basal melt rates
Rift propagation, rather than basal melt, drives the destabilization and disintegration of the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf. Since 2016, rifts have episodically advanced throughout the central ice-shelf area, with rapid propagation events occurring during austral spring. The ice shelf's speed has increased by ~70% during this period, transitioning from a rate of 1.65 m d−1 in 2019 to 2.85 m d−1 by early 2023 in the central area. The increase in longitudinal strain rates near the grounding zone has led to full-thickness rifts and melange-filled gaps since 2020. A recent sea-ice break out has accelerated retreat at the western calving front, effectively separating the ice shelf from what remained of its northwestern pinning point. Meanwhile, a distributed set of phase-sensitive radar measurements indicates that the basal melting rate is generally small, likely due to a widespread robust ocean stratification beneath the ice–ocean interface that suppresses basal melt despite the presence of substantial oceanic heat at depth. These observations in combination with damage modeling show that, while ocean forcing is responsible for triggering the current West Antarctic ice retreat, the Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf is experiencing dynamic feedbacks over decadal timescales that are driving ice-shelf disintegration, now independent of basal melt.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Glaciology publishes original scientific articles and letters in any aspect of glaciology- the study of ice. Studies of natural, artificial, and extraterrestrial ice and snow, as well as interactions between ice, snow and the atmospheric, oceanic and subglacial environment are all eligible. They may be based on field work, remote sensing, laboratory investigations, theoretical analysis or numerical modelling, or may report on newly developed glaciological instruments. Subjects covered recently in the Journal have included palaeoclimatology and the chemistry of the atmosphere as revealed in ice cores; theoretical and applied physics and chemistry of ice; the dynamics of glaciers and ice sheets, and changes in their extent and mass under climatic forcing; glacier energy balances at all scales; glacial landforms, and glaciers as geomorphic agents; snow science in all its aspects; ice as a host for surface and subglacial ecosystems; sea ice, icebergs and lake ice; and avalanche dynamics and other glacial hazards to human activity. Studies of permafrost and of ice in the Earth’s atmosphere are also within the domain of the Journal, as are interdisciplinary applications to engineering, biological, and social sciences, and studies in the history of glaciology.