{"title":"bayesCureRateModel:用 R 对事件发生时间数据进行贝叶斯治愈率建模","authors":"Panagiotis Papastamoulis, Fotios Milienos","doi":"arxiv-2409.10221","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The family of cure models provides a unique opportunity to simultaneously\nmodel both the proportion of cured subjects (those not facing the event of\ninterest) and the distribution function of time-to-event for susceptibles\n(those facing the event). In practice, the application of cure models is mainly\nfacilitated by the availability of various R packages. However, most of these\npackages primarily focus on the mixture or promotion time cure rate model. This\narticle presents a fully Bayesian approach implemented in R to estimate a\ngeneral family of cure rate models in the presence of covariates. It builds\nupon the work by Papastamoulis and Milienos (2024) by additionally considering\nvarious options for describing the promotion time, including the Weibull,\nexponential, Gompertz, log-logistic and finite mixtures of gamma distributions,\namong others. Moreover, the user can choose any proper distribution function\nfor modeling the promotion time (provided that some specific conditions are\nmet). Posterior inference is carried out by constructing a Metropolis-coupled\nMarkov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler, which combines Gibbs sampling for the\nlatent cure indicators and Metropolis-Hastings steps with Langevin diffusion\ndynamics for parameter updates. The main MCMC algorithm is embedded within a\nparallel tempering scheme by considering heated versions of the target\nposterior distribution. The package is illustrated on a real dataset analyzing\nthe duration of the first marriage under the presence of various covariates\nsuch as the race, age and the presence of kids.","PeriodicalId":501425,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - STAT - Methodology","volume":"183 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"bayesCureRateModel: Bayesian Cure Rate Modeling for Time to Event Data in R\",\"authors\":\"Panagiotis Papastamoulis, Fotios Milienos\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2409.10221\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The family of cure models provides a unique opportunity to simultaneously\\nmodel both the proportion of cured subjects (those not facing the event of\\ninterest) and the distribution function of time-to-event for susceptibles\\n(those facing the event). In practice, the application of cure models is mainly\\nfacilitated by the availability of various R packages. However, most of these\\npackages primarily focus on the mixture or promotion time cure rate model. This\\narticle presents a fully Bayesian approach implemented in R to estimate a\\ngeneral family of cure rate models in the presence of covariates. It builds\\nupon the work by Papastamoulis and Milienos (2024) by additionally considering\\nvarious options for describing the promotion time, including the Weibull,\\nexponential, Gompertz, log-logistic and finite mixtures of gamma distributions,\\namong others. Moreover, the user can choose any proper distribution function\\nfor modeling the promotion time (provided that some specific conditions are\\nmet). Posterior inference is carried out by constructing a Metropolis-coupled\\nMarkov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler, which combines Gibbs sampling for the\\nlatent cure indicators and Metropolis-Hastings steps with Langevin diffusion\\ndynamics for parameter updates. The main MCMC algorithm is embedded within a\\nparallel tempering scheme by considering heated versions of the target\\nposterior distribution. The package is illustrated on a real dataset analyzing\\nthe duration of the first marriage under the presence of various covariates\\nsuch as the race, age and the presence of kids.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501425,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - STAT - Methodology\",\"volume\":\"183 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - STAT - Methodology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.10221\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - STAT - Methodology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.10221","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
bayesCureRateModel: Bayesian Cure Rate Modeling for Time to Event Data in R
The family of cure models provides a unique opportunity to simultaneously
model both the proportion of cured subjects (those not facing the event of
interest) and the distribution function of time-to-event for susceptibles
(those facing the event). In practice, the application of cure models is mainly
facilitated by the availability of various R packages. However, most of these
packages primarily focus on the mixture or promotion time cure rate model. This
article presents a fully Bayesian approach implemented in R to estimate a
general family of cure rate models in the presence of covariates. It builds
upon the work by Papastamoulis and Milienos (2024) by additionally considering
various options for describing the promotion time, including the Weibull,
exponential, Gompertz, log-logistic and finite mixtures of gamma distributions,
among others. Moreover, the user can choose any proper distribution function
for modeling the promotion time (provided that some specific conditions are
met). Posterior inference is carried out by constructing a Metropolis-coupled
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler, which combines Gibbs sampling for the
latent cure indicators and Metropolis-Hastings steps with Langevin diffusion
dynamics for parameter updates. The main MCMC algorithm is embedded within a
parallel tempering scheme by considering heated versions of the target
posterior distribution. The package is illustrated on a real dataset analyzing
the duration of the first marriage under the presence of various covariates
such as the race, age and the presence of kids.