加强 "影响 2050 "模型,对共享出行进行全系统可持续性评估

Mark Muller , Gonçalo Homem de Almeida Correia , Seri Park , Yimin Zhang , Brett Fusco , Ross Lee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

移动即服务(MaaS)等新兴概念可以提供可持续的移动性,尤其是在人口稠密的城市地区。然而,最近的研究强调了评估用户人口、模式选择、车辆自动化、管理和效率之间复杂的相互作用将如何影响未来交通的可持续性所面临的挑战。鉴于这一挑战,本研究确定了一个全系统(STEEP--社会、技术、经济、环境和政治)框架,认为它对于评估共享出行等新兴城市交通系统的整体可持续性至关重要。我们需要的是一种单一的工具,它可以快速探索这种替代性未来交通方案对特定城市地区的长期可持续性影响。本文记录了为满足这一需求而对城市交通战略级模型 Impacts 2050 所做的改进,包括更新出行行为统计模型和增加包括出行占用率在内的共享出行功能。使用增强型 Impacts 2050 得出的结果表明,虽然在某些情景下,共享出行的使用率显著增加,但其总体模式份额仍然有限。此外,虽然共享出行使用户减少了汽车拥有量,但 "不拥有汽车 "的总体增长比例较低。本报告介绍了基于 STEEP 的城市交通可持续性记分卡,该记分卡由《影响 2050》增强版的输出结果生成。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Enhancement of the impacts 2050 model to enable a whole system sustainability assessment of rideshare

Emerging concepts, such as Mobility as a Service (MaaS), could evolve to provide sustainable mobility, especially in densely populated urban areas. However, recent studies highlight the challenge of evaluating how the complex interactions of user demographics, mode choice, vehicle automation, governance, and efficiency will impact the sustainability of future mobility. Given this challenge, this research identifies a whole system (STEEP - social, technical, economic, environmental, and political) framework as essential to assess the overall sustainability of emergent urban mobility systems such as rideshare. The need is a single tool that can rapidly explore the long-range sustainability impact of such alternative future mobility scenarios for a given city region. This paper documents enhancements made to Impacts 2050, a strategic-level model of urban mobility, to address this need, including updates to the statistical travel behavior model and the addition of rideshare including trip occupancy. Results obtained with the enhanced Impacts 2050 showed that, while rideshare use increased significantly for some scenarios, its overall mode share remained limited. In addition, though rideshare enabled users to shed car ownership, the overall percentage increase of “no car ownership” was low. An urban mobility sustainability scorecard based on STEEP and generated by output from the enhanced Impacts 2050 is presented.

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