用贝叶斯框架评估体育运动中涉嫌使用暗码作弊案件的证据

arXiv - STAT - Applications Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI:arxiv-2409.08172

Aafko Boonstra, Ronald Meester

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一个贝叶斯框架，用于分析一个涉嫌在桥牌运动中作弊的案例。我们解释了为什么需要贝叶斯方法，而不是频数方法。我们认为，这种贝叶斯框架也可以并应该用于其他体育项目，以分析通过非法信号手段涉嫌作弊的案例。

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A Bayesian framework to evaluate evidence in cases of alleged cheating with secret codes in sports

We present a Bayesian framework to analyze a case of alleged cheating in the mind sport contract bridge. We explain why a Bayesian approach is called for, and not a frequentistic one. We argue that such a Bayesian framework can and should also be used in other sports for cases of alleged cheating by means of illegal signalling.

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arXiv - STAT - Applications

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