{"title":"考虑行为动力学的传染病最佳控制策略","authors":"Omar Forrest, Mo'tassem Al-arydah","doi":"10.1002/mma.10388","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We present a simple SVIR (susceptible, vaccinated, infected, recovered) model to analyze the spread of COVID-19, incorporating the influence of the population's caution on the transmission rate, which is considered nonlinear in current number of infected. Demonstrating a positive bound solution confirms the model's biological relevance. Through a formula for the basic reproduction number, we explore the local asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium (EE), showing that the existence of the EE relies on the basic reproduction number. Furthermore, we establish the global stability of the DFE by constructing a Lyapunov function. We present an optimal control problem for vaccination, demonstrating the existence and uniqueness of the optimal strategy. Our simulations indicate that optimal vaccination is effective in reducing infections and costs. We also investigate the effect of integrating education into the model to underscore its importance in decreasing disease transmission rates and reducing the necessity for vaccine uptake.</p>","PeriodicalId":49865,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences","volume":"48 2","pages":"1362-1380"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mma.10388","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Optimal control strategies for infectious diseases with consideration of behavioral dynamics\",\"authors\":\"Omar Forrest, Mo'tassem Al-arydah\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/mma.10388\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We present a simple SVIR (susceptible, vaccinated, infected, recovered) model to analyze the spread of COVID-19, incorporating the influence of the population's caution on the transmission rate, which is considered nonlinear in current number of infected. Demonstrating a positive bound solution confirms the model's biological relevance. Through a formula for the basic reproduction number, we explore the local asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium (EE), showing that the existence of the EE relies on the basic reproduction number. Furthermore, we establish the global stability of the DFE by constructing a Lyapunov function. We present an optimal control problem for vaccination, demonstrating the existence and uniqueness of the optimal strategy. Our simulations indicate that optimal vaccination is effective in reducing infections and costs. We also investigate the effect of integrating education into the model to underscore its importance in decreasing disease transmission rates and reducing the necessity for vaccine uptake.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49865,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences\",\"volume\":\"48 2\",\"pages\":\"1362-1380\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mma.10388\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/mma.10388\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, APPLIED\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/mma.10388","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, APPLIED","Score":null,"Total":0}
Optimal control strategies for infectious diseases with consideration of behavioral dynamics
We present a simple SVIR (susceptible, vaccinated, infected, recovered) model to analyze the spread of COVID-19, incorporating the influence of the population's caution on the transmission rate, which is considered nonlinear in current number of infected. Demonstrating a positive bound solution confirms the model's biological relevance. Through a formula for the basic reproduction number, we explore the local asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium (EE), showing that the existence of the EE relies on the basic reproduction number. Furthermore, we establish the global stability of the DFE by constructing a Lyapunov function. We present an optimal control problem for vaccination, demonstrating the existence and uniqueness of the optimal strategy. Our simulations indicate that optimal vaccination is effective in reducing infections and costs. We also investigate the effect of integrating education into the model to underscore its importance in decreasing disease transmission rates and reducing the necessity for vaccine uptake.
期刊介绍:
Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences publishes papers dealing with new mathematical methods for the consideration of linear and non-linear, direct and inverse problems for physical relevant processes over time- and space- varying media under certain initial, boundary, transition conditions etc. Papers dealing with biomathematical content, population dynamics and network problems are most welcome.
Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences is an interdisciplinary journal: therefore, all manuscripts must be written to be accessible to a broad scientific but mathematically advanced audience. All papers must contain carefully written introduction and conclusion sections, which should include a clear exposition of the underlying scientific problem, a summary of the mathematical results and the tools used in deriving the results. Furthermore, the scientific importance of the manuscript and its conclusions should be made clear. Papers dealing with numerical processes or which contain only the application of well established methods will not be accepted.
Because of the broad scope of the journal, authors should minimize the use of technical jargon from their subfield in order to increase the accessibility of their paper and appeal to a wider readership. If technical terms are necessary, authors should define them clearly so that the main ideas are understandable also to readers not working in the same subfield.