基于连体网络的长期时间序列预测:少数几次学习的视角

IF 3.1 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Jin Fan, Jiaqian Xiang, Jie Liu, Zheyu Wang, Huifeng Wu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

长期时间序列预测(LTSF)在各个领域都发挥着重要作用,它利用大量历史数据来预测未来较长一段时间内的趋势。然而,在现实生活中,长期时间序列预测的性能往往受到缺失数据的阻碍。少点学习旨在解决数据缺失问题,但利用少点学习解决长期时间序列预测任务中样本缺失问题的研究相对较少,而且大多数少点学习方法都依赖于迁移学习。为解决这一问题,本文提出了一种基于连体网络的时间序列转换器(SiaTST),用于在少点学习环境下完成长期时间序列预测任务。为了增加输入尺度的多样性并更好地捕捉时间序列中的局部特征,我们采用了双层分级输入策略。此外,我们还引入了可学习预测标记(LPT)来捕捉时间序列的全局特征。此外,我们还利用特征融合层来捕捉多个变量之间的依赖关系,并整合来自不同层次的信息。在 7 个流行的 LSTF 数据集上的实验结果表明,我们提出的模型达到了最先进的性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Long-term time series forecasting based on Siamese network: a perspective on few-shot learning

Long-term time series forecasting based on Siamese network: a perspective on few-shot learning

The long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) plays a crucial role in various domains, utilizing a large amount of historical data to forecast trends over an extended future time range. However, in real-life scenarios, the performance of LTSF is often hindered by missing data. Few-shot learning aims to address the issue of data scarcity, but there is relatively little research on using few-shot learning to tackle sample scarcity in long-term time series forecasting tasks, and most few-shot learning methods rely on transfer learning. To address this problem, this paper proposes a Siamese network-based time series Transformer (SiaTST) for the task of LTSF in a few-shot setting. To increase the diversity of input scales and better capture local features in time series, we adopt a dual-level hierarchical input strategy. Additionally, we introduce a learnable prediction token (LPT) to capture global features of the time series. Furthermore, a feature fusion layer is utilized to capture dependencies among multiple variables and integrate information from different levels. Experimental results on 7 popular LSTF datasets demonstrate that our proposed model achieves state-of-the-art performance.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Machine Learning and Cybernetics
International Journal of Machine Learning and Cybernetics COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE-
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
10.70%
发文量
225
期刊介绍: Cybernetics is concerned with describing complex interactions and interrelationships between systems which are omnipresent in our daily life. Machine Learning discovers fundamental functional relationships between variables and ensembles of variables in systems. The merging of the disciplines of Machine Learning and Cybernetics is aimed at the discovery of various forms of interaction between systems through diverse mechanisms of learning from data. The International Journal of Machine Learning and Cybernetics (IJMLC) focuses on the key research problems emerging at the junction of machine learning and cybernetics and serves as a broad forum for rapid dissemination of the latest advancements in the area. The emphasis of IJMLC is on the hybrid development of machine learning and cybernetics schemes inspired by different contributing disciplines such as engineering, mathematics, cognitive sciences, and applications. New ideas, design alternatives, implementations and case studies pertaining to all the aspects of machine learning and cybernetics fall within the scope of the IJMLC. Key research areas to be covered by the journal include: Machine Learning for modeling interactions between systems Pattern Recognition technology to support discovery of system-environment interaction Control of system-environment interactions Biochemical interaction in biological and biologically-inspired systems Learning for improvement of communication schemes between systems
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