{"title":"透明度与预测:条件假设对预测准确性的影响","authors":"Katja Heinisch, Christoph Schult, Carola Stapper","doi":"10.1080/13504851.2024.2388870","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the impact of inaccurate assumptions on economic forecast precision. We construct a new dataset comprising an unbalanced panel of annual German GDP forecasts from various in...","PeriodicalId":8014,"journal":{"name":"Applied Economics Letters","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Transparency and forecasting: the impact of conditioning assumptions on forecast accuracy\",\"authors\":\"Katja Heinisch, Christoph Schult, Carola Stapper\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/13504851.2024.2388870\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This study investigates the impact of inaccurate assumptions on economic forecast precision. We construct a new dataset comprising an unbalanced panel of annual German GDP forecasts from various in...\",\"PeriodicalId\":8014,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Applied Economics Letters\",\"volume\":\"57 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Applied Economics Letters\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2024.2388870\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Economics Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2024.2388870","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究探讨了不准确的假设对经济预测精度的影响。我们构建了一个新的数据集,该数据集由一个非平衡面板组成,其中包含来自不同国家的德国年度 GDP 预测。
Transparency and forecasting: the impact of conditioning assumptions on forecast accuracy
This study investigates the impact of inaccurate assumptions on economic forecast precision. We construct a new dataset comprising an unbalanced panel of annual German GDP forecasts from various in...
期刊介绍:
Applied Economics Letters is a companion journal to Applied Economics and Applied Financial Economics. It publishes short accounts of new original research and encourages discussion of papers previously published in its two companion journals. Letters are reviewed by the Editor, a member of the Editorial Board or another suitable authority. They are generally applied in nature, but may include discussion of method and theoretical formulation. In a change to the format of the Applied Financial Series of journals, from 2009 Applied Financial Economics Letters will be incorporated into its sister journal Applied Economics Letters.