{"title":"青年工人过度教育的持续性与商业周期","authors":"José M. Arranz, Carlos García-Serrano","doi":"10.1007/s11205-024-03412-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The objective of the article is to analyse the degree of persistence of overeducation in the initial stages of the professional career of young workers and the relationship between both the incidence and the persistence of overeducation and the business cycle. We use longitudinal data from administrative records (the ‘Continuous Sample of Working Life’) on the work trajectories of young Spaniards (16–35 years old) who enter the labour market for the first time at various moments in time (2005, 2009 or 2014) and estimate univariate and recursive bivariate probit models. The main findings are that nearly one third of entrants are overeducated in their first job, that their permanence in overeducation five years later is high (above 50%) and that the persistence of overeducation of young entrants is countercyclical.</p>","PeriodicalId":21943,"journal":{"name":"Social Indicators Research","volume":"6 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Persistence of Overeducation Among Young Workers and Business Cycle\",\"authors\":\"José M. Arranz, Carlos García-Serrano\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11205-024-03412-w\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>The objective of the article is to analyse the degree of persistence of overeducation in the initial stages of the professional career of young workers and the relationship between both the incidence and the persistence of overeducation and the business cycle. We use longitudinal data from administrative records (the ‘Continuous Sample of Working Life’) on the work trajectories of young Spaniards (16–35 years old) who enter the labour market for the first time at various moments in time (2005, 2009 or 2014) and estimate univariate and recursive bivariate probit models. The main findings are that nearly one third of entrants are overeducated in their first job, that their permanence in overeducation five years later is high (above 50%) and that the persistence of overeducation of young entrants is countercyclical.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":21943,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Social Indicators Research\",\"volume\":\"6 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Social Indicators Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-024-03412-w\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"社会学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Social Indicators Research","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-024-03412-w","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Persistence of Overeducation Among Young Workers and Business Cycle
The objective of the article is to analyse the degree of persistence of overeducation in the initial stages of the professional career of young workers and the relationship between both the incidence and the persistence of overeducation and the business cycle. We use longitudinal data from administrative records (the ‘Continuous Sample of Working Life’) on the work trajectories of young Spaniards (16–35 years old) who enter the labour market for the first time at various moments in time (2005, 2009 or 2014) and estimate univariate and recursive bivariate probit models. The main findings are that nearly one third of entrants are overeducated in their first job, that their permanence in overeducation five years later is high (above 50%) and that the persistence of overeducation of young entrants is countercyclical.
期刊介绍：
Since its foundation in 1974, Social Indicators Research has become the leading journal on problems related to the measurement of all aspects of the quality of life. The journal continues to publish results of research on all aspects of the quality of life and includes studies that reflect developments in the field. It devotes special attention to studies on such topics as sustainability of quality of life, sustainable development, and the relationship between quality of life and sustainability. The topics represented in the journal cover and involve a variety of segmentations, such as social groups, spatial and temporal coordinates, population composition, and life domains. The journal presents empirical, philosophical and methodological studies that cover the entire spectrum of society and are devoted to giving evidences through indicators. It considers indicators in their different typologies, and gives special attention to indicators that are able to meet the need of understanding social realities and phenomena that are increasingly more complex, interrelated, interacted and dynamical. In addition, it presents studies aimed at defining new approaches in constructing indicators.
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