{"title":"针对 $[0, 1]$ 响应的扩展支持贝塔回归","authors":"Ioannis Kosmidis, Achim Zeileis","doi":"arxiv-2409.07233","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We introduce the XBX regression model, a continuous mixture of\nextended-support beta regressions for modeling bounded responses with or\nwithout boundary observations. The core building block of the new model is the\nextended-support beta distribution, which is a censored version of a\nfour-parameter beta distribution with the same exceedance on the left and right\nof $(0, 1)$. Hence, XBX regression is a direct extension of beta regression. We\nprove that both beta regression with dispersion effects and heteroscedastic\nnormal regression with censoring at both $0$ and $1$ -- known as the\nheteroscedastic two-limit tobit model in the econometrics literature -- are\nspecial cases of the extended-support beta regression model, depending on\nwhether a single extra parameter is zero or infinity, respectively. To overcome\nidentifiability issues that may arise in estimating the extra parameter due to\nthe similarity of the beta and normal distribution for certain parameter\nsettings, we assume that the additional parameter has an exponential\ndistribution with an unknown mean. The associated marginal likelihood can be\nconveniently and accurately approximated using a Gauss-Laguerre quadrature\nrule, resulting in efficient estimation and inference procedures. The new model\nis used to analyze investment decisions in a behavioral economics experiment,\nwhere the occurrence and extent of loss aversion is of interest. In contrast to\nstandard approaches, XBX regression can simultaneously capture the probability\nof rational behavior as well as the mean amount of loss aversion. Moreover, the\neffectiveness of the new model is illustrated through extensive numerical\ncomparisons with alternative models.","PeriodicalId":501425,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - STAT - Methodology","volume":"108 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Extended-support beta regression for $[0, 1]$ responses\",\"authors\":\"Ioannis Kosmidis, Achim Zeileis\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2409.07233\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We introduce the XBX regression model, a continuous mixture of\\nextended-support beta regressions for modeling bounded responses with or\\nwithout boundary observations. The core building block of the new model is the\\nextended-support beta distribution, which is a censored version of a\\nfour-parameter beta distribution with the same exceedance on the left and right\\nof $(0, 1)$. Hence, XBX regression is a direct extension of beta regression. We\\nprove that both beta regression with dispersion effects and heteroscedastic\\nnormal regression with censoring at both $0$ and $1$ -- known as the\\nheteroscedastic two-limit tobit model in the econometrics literature -- are\\nspecial cases of the extended-support beta regression model, depending on\\nwhether a single extra parameter is zero or infinity, respectively. To overcome\\nidentifiability issues that may arise in estimating the extra parameter due to\\nthe similarity of the beta and normal distribution for certain parameter\\nsettings, we assume that the additional parameter has an exponential\\ndistribution with an unknown mean. The associated marginal likelihood can be\\nconveniently and accurately approximated using a Gauss-Laguerre quadrature\\nrule, resulting in efficient estimation and inference procedures. The new model\\nis used to analyze investment decisions in a behavioral economics experiment,\\nwhere the occurrence and extent of loss aversion is of interest. In contrast to\\nstandard approaches, XBX regression can simultaneously capture the probability\\nof rational behavior as well as the mean amount of loss aversion. Moreover, the\\neffectiveness of the new model is illustrated through extensive numerical\\ncomparisons with alternative models.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501425,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - STAT - Methodology\",\"volume\":\"108 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-11\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - STAT - Methodology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.07233\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - STAT - Methodology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.07233","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Extended-support beta regression for $[0, 1]$ responses
We introduce the XBX regression model, a continuous mixture of
extended-support beta regressions for modeling bounded responses with or
without boundary observations. The core building block of the new model is the
extended-support beta distribution, which is a censored version of a
four-parameter beta distribution with the same exceedance on the left and right
of $(0, 1)$. Hence, XBX regression is a direct extension of beta regression. We
prove that both beta regression with dispersion effects and heteroscedastic
normal regression with censoring at both $0$ and $1$ -- known as the
heteroscedastic two-limit tobit model in the econometrics literature -- are
special cases of the extended-support beta regression model, depending on
whether a single extra parameter is zero or infinity, respectively. To overcome
identifiability issues that may arise in estimating the extra parameter due to
the similarity of the beta and normal distribution for certain parameter
settings, we assume that the additional parameter has an exponential
distribution with an unknown mean. The associated marginal likelihood can be
conveniently and accurately approximated using a Gauss-Laguerre quadrature
rule, resulting in efficient estimation and inference procedures. The new model
is used to analyze investment decisions in a behavioral economics experiment,
where the occurrence and extent of loss aversion is of interest. In contrast to
standard approaches, XBX regression can simultaneously capture the probability
of rational behavior as well as the mean amount of loss aversion. Moreover, the
effectiveness of the new model is illustrated through extensive numerical
comparisons with alternative models.