符合净零排放战略的公共卫生共同效益:定量研究的系统回顾

Léo Moutet, Paquito Bernard, Rosemary Green, James Milner, Andy Haines, Rémy Slama, Laura TEMIME, Kévin Jean
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引用次数: 0

摘要

据预测,迈向碳中和社会将带来健康方面的共同效益,但这些效益的大小并没有得到充分证明,而且可能因具体情况而异。综合有关这些共同效益的证据可以提高决策者和民众的参与度。我们进行了一项系统性综述,其中包括 55 项探讨 121 种情景的定量研究。在空气质量、体育锻炼和饮食变化途径中,我们发现了大量的健康共同效益,除了与气候稳定直接相关的效益外,半数情景还显示死亡率下降超过 1.5%。然而,这些共同效益因所探讨的排放部门、去碳化杠杆、建模方法和地点而异。在包含成本效益分析的研究中,13 项研究中有 11 项估计货币化效益大于实施气候政策的成本。本综述强调需要一个标准化框架来评估和比较各部门气候减缓行动对健康的影响,并证实实现净零目标是影响深远的公共卫生政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The public health co-benefits of strategies consistent with net-zero emissions: a systematic review of quantitative studies
Moving toward carbon-neutral societies is projected to provide health co-benefits, yet their magnitude is not well-documented and may be context-specific. Synthesizing the evidence on these co-benefits could enhance the engagement of decision-makers and populations. We performed a systematic review including 55 quantitative studies exploring 121 scenarios. Across air quality, physical activity and dietary changes pathways, substantial health co-benefits were found, with half of scenarios showing a mortality reduction by more than 1.5%, in addition to benefits directly related to climate stabilization. However, these co-benefits varied with explored emission sectors, decarbonization levers, modelling approaches and locations. Among studies including a cost-benefit analysis, 11 out of 13 estimated that monetized benefits outweighed the costs of implementing climate policies. This review highlights the need for a standardised framework to assess and compare health impacts of climate mitigation actions across sectors, and confirms that achieving net-zero goals represent far-reaching public health policies.
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