非同步波动性的横截面依赖性

Ilze Kalnina, Kokouvi Tewou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文介绍了一种计量经济学框架,用于利用高频数据分析资产特异波动率的跨期依赖性。我们首先考虑了对特异波动率依赖性的标准度量的估计,如协方差和相关性。由于使用了带有误差的特异波动率估计值,这些指标的天真估计值是有偏差的。我们提供了偏差校正估计值和相关的渐近理论。接下来,我们引入一个特质波动率因子模型,将特质波动率的变化分解为两部分:与市场波动率等系统性因子相关的变化和残差变化。同样,分解的天真估计值是有偏差的,我们提供了偏差校正估计值。我们还提供了渐近理论,使我们能够检验特异性波动率的残差(非系统性)成分是否表现出横截面依赖性。我们将我们的方法应用于标准普尔 100 指数成分股,并记录了其特异性波动率中强烈的横截面依赖性。我们考虑了两组不同的特异波动率因子,发现这两组因子都不能完全解释特异波动率的横截面依赖性。对于每种模型,我们都绘制出了所有股票的残差(非系统性)特异波动率的依赖网络。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cross-sectional Dependence in Idiosyncratic Volatility
This paper introduces an econometric framework for analyzing cross-sectional dependence in the idiosyncratic volatilities of assets using high frequency data. We first consider the estimation of standard measures of dependence in the idiosyncratic volatilities such as covariances and correlations. Naive estimators of these measures are biased due to the use of the error-laden estimates of idiosyncratic volatilities. We provide bias-corrected estimators and the relevant asymptotic theory. Next, we introduce an idiosyncratic volatility factor model, in which we decompose the variation in idiosyncratic volatilities into two parts: the variation related to the systematic factors such as the market volatility, and the residual variation. Again, naive estimators of the decomposition are biased, and we provide bias-corrected estimators. We also provide the asymptotic theory that allows us to test whether the residual (non-systematic) components of the idiosyncratic volatilities exhibit cross-sectional dependence. We apply our methodology to the S&P 100 index constituents, and document strong cross-sectional dependence in their idiosyncratic volatilities. We consider two different sets of idiosyncratic volatility factors, and find that neither can fully account for the cross-sectional dependence in idiosyncratic volatilities. For each model, we map out the network of dependencies in residual (non-systematic) idiosyncratic volatilities across all stocks.
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