{"title":"多事件差分法","authors":"Lin-Tung Tsai","doi":"arxiv-2409.05184","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Confounding events with correlated timing violate the parallel trends\nassumption in Difference-in-Differences (DiD) designs. I show that the standard\nstaggered DiD estimator is biased in the presence of confounding events.\nIdentification can be achieved with units not yet treated by either event as\ncontrols and a double DiD design using variation in treatment timing. I apply\nthis method to examine the effect of states' staggered minimum wage raise on\nteen employment from 2010 to 2020. The Medicaid expansion under the ACA\nconfounded the raises, leading to a spurious negative estimate.","PeriodicalId":501293,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - ECON - Econometrics","volume":"52 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Difference-in-Differences with Multiple Events\",\"authors\":\"Lin-Tung Tsai\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2409.05184\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Confounding events with correlated timing violate the parallel trends\\nassumption in Difference-in-Differences (DiD) designs. I show that the standard\\nstaggered DiD estimator is biased in the presence of confounding events.\\nIdentification can be achieved with units not yet treated by either event as\\ncontrols and a double DiD design using variation in treatment timing. I apply\\nthis method to examine the effect of states' staggered minimum wage raise on\\nteen employment from 2010 to 2020. The Medicaid expansion under the ACA\\nconfounded the raises, leading to a spurious negative estimate.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501293,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - ECON - Econometrics\",\"volume\":\"52 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - ECON - Econometrics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.05184\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - ECON - Econometrics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.05184","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Confounding events with correlated timing violate the parallel trends
assumption in Difference-in-Differences (DiD) designs. I show that the standard
staggered DiD estimator is biased in the presence of confounding events.
Identification can be achieved with units not yet treated by either event as
controls and a double DiD design using variation in treatment timing. I apply
this method to examine the effect of states' staggered minimum wage raise on
teen employment from 2010 to 2020. The Medicaid expansion under the ACA
confounded the raises, leading to a spurious negative estimate.