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引用次数: 0
摘要
我们考虑对边际超额矩(MEM)进行估计,对于随机向量(X, Y)和参数 \(\beta >;0)定义为 \(\mathbb {E}[(X-Q_{X}(1-p))_{+}^{\beta }|Y> Q_{Y}(1-p)]\) ,前提是 \(\mathbb {E}|X|^{\beta }< \infty \),其中 \(y_{+}:=\max (0,y)\), (Q_{X}\)和(Q_{Y}\)分别是 X 和 Y 的量化函数,(p\in (0,1)\).我们感兴趣的是在随机变量 X 是 Weibull 型而 Y 的分布保持一般的情况下,(X, Y)的极值依赖结构收敛到双变量极值分布的极值依赖结构,我们让 (p (downarrow 0))作为样本大小 (n (rightarrow (infty))。通过使用极值论证,我们引入了边际超额矩的估计器,并推导出其极限分布。通过模拟研究评估了所提出的估计器的有限样本特性,并在波高和风速数据集上说明了其实际适用性。
Estimation of marginal excess moments for Weibull-type distributions
We consider the estimation of the marginal excess moment (MEM), which is defined for a random vector (X, Y) and a parameter \(\beta >0\) as \(\mathbb {E}[(X-Q_{X}(1-p))_{+}^{\beta }|Y> Q_{Y}(1-p)]\) provided \(\mathbb {E}|X|^{\beta }< \infty \), and where \(y_{+}:=\max (0,y)\), \(Q_{X}\) and \(Q_{Y}\) are the quantile functions of X and Y respectively, and \(p\in (0,1)\). Our interest is in the situation where the random variable X is of Weibull-type while the distribution of Y is kept general, the extreme dependence structure of (X, Y) converges to that of a bivariate extreme value distribution, and we let \(p \downarrow 0\) as the sample size \(n \rightarrow \infty \). By using extreme value arguments we introduce an estimator for the marginal excess moment and we derive its limiting distribution. The finite sample properties of the proposed estimator are evaluated with a simulation study and the practical applicability is illustrated on a dataset of wave heights and wind speeds.
ExtremesMATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
7.70%
发文量
15
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍:
Extremes publishes original research on all aspects of statistical extreme value theory and its applications in science, engineering, economics and other fields. Authoritative and timely reviews of theoretical advances and of extreme value methods and problems in important applied areas, including detailed case studies, are welcome and will be a regular feature. All papers are refereed. Publication will be swift: in particular electronic submission and correspondence is encouraged.
Statistical extreme value methods encompass a very wide range of problems: Extreme waves, rainfall, and floods are of basic importance in oceanography and hydrology, as are high windspeeds and extreme temperatures in meteorology and catastrophic claims in insurance. The waveforms and extremes of random loads determine lifelengths in structural safety, corrosion and metal fatigue.