{"title":"为更大利益而牺牲?匈牙利过度占用土地和改变土地用途的主要驱动因素","authors":"György Csomós , Ádám Szalai , Jenő Zsolt Farkas","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107352","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Despite continuous population decline or stagnation, many Central and Eastern European cities experience urban sprawl and expansion, accompanied by excessive land take and land use change. This paper investigates recent trends in land take and land use change in Hungarian cities, aiming to identify the drivers of these processes. The study utilizes the Urban Atlas (UA) databases from 2006 and 2018 to analyze land use change in selected Hungarian cities, employing QGIS software to compile the database and MS Excel to conduct the statistical analysis. A linear trajectory model is employed to project land use change by 2026, based on 2006–2018 UA data. Additionally, via the in-depth analysis of Debrecen, the study highlights the recent acceleration of land use change to compare the projected trend with the forecasted one. Local climate strategies focus on addressing environmental concerns, including changes in land use at the city level. Therefore, this study reviews the relevant documents associated with each city to assess its commitment to reducing land take. The results indicate that despite its declining population, Hungary has seen a significant expansion in artificial surfaces, primarily due to industrialization and population policies introduced by the central government, which is likely to continue in the coming years. Unfortunately, local climate strategies have been insufficient in preventing cities from experiencing urban sprawl and expansion and preserving local ecosystem services. This underscores the inability of municipalities to defend local interests against central government directives. The findings of this study indicate that the current central policies are the main drivers of land take and urban sprawl and expansion. Prioritizing the compact city model and brownfield developments could effectively mitigate these issues. Finally, the paper advocates that complete jurisdiction over land use decisions be restored to local governments, enabling them to reject investments that may jeopardize local environmental goals.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"147 ","pages":"Article 107352"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837724003053/pdfft?md5=2d6417f4f3b87eca96ec46d1cc4dab91&pid=1-s2.0-S0264837724003053-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A sacrifice for the greater good? 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引用次数: 0
摘要
尽管人口持续下降或停滞,许多中欧和东欧城市仍经历着城市扩张和扩张,同时伴随着过度的土地占用和土地利用变化。本文调查了匈牙利城市土地占用和土地利用变化的最新趋势,旨在找出这些过程的驱动因素。研究利用 2006 年和 2018 年的城市图集(UA)数据库分析了匈牙利部分城市的土地利用变化,并采用 QGIS 软件编制数据库和 MS Excel 进行统计分析。根据 2006-2018 年的 UA 数据,采用线性轨迹模型预测到 2026 年的土地利用变化。此外,通过对德布勒森的深入分析,该研究强调了近期土地利用变化的加速趋势,并将预测趋势与预测趋势进行了比较。地方气候战略的重点是解决环境问题,包括城市土地利用的变化。因此,本研究审查了每个城市的相关文件,以评估其减少土地占用的承诺。研究结果表明,尽管匈牙利的人口在不断减少,但人工地面却在大幅扩张,这主要是由于工业化和中央政府出台的人口政策,而且在未来几年内,这种扩张还可能继续下去。遗憾的是,当地的气候战略在防止城市无序扩张和扩张以及保护当地生态系统服务方面并不充分。这凸显了市政当局在中央政府的指令面前无力捍卫地方利益。本研究的结果表明,当前的中央政策是土地占用和城市无序扩张的主要驱动力。优先考虑紧凑型城市模式和棕地开发可有效缓解这些问题。最后,本文主张恢复地方政府对土地使用决策的完全管辖权,使其能够拒绝可能危及地方环境目标的投资。
A sacrifice for the greater good? On the main drivers of excessive land take and land use change in Hungary
Despite continuous population decline or stagnation, many Central and Eastern European cities experience urban sprawl and expansion, accompanied by excessive land take and land use change. This paper investigates recent trends in land take and land use change in Hungarian cities, aiming to identify the drivers of these processes. The study utilizes the Urban Atlas (UA) databases from 2006 and 2018 to analyze land use change in selected Hungarian cities, employing QGIS software to compile the database and MS Excel to conduct the statistical analysis. A linear trajectory model is employed to project land use change by 2026, based on 2006–2018 UA data. Additionally, via the in-depth analysis of Debrecen, the study highlights the recent acceleration of land use change to compare the projected trend with the forecasted one. Local climate strategies focus on addressing environmental concerns, including changes in land use at the city level. Therefore, this study reviews the relevant documents associated with each city to assess its commitment to reducing land take. The results indicate that despite its declining population, Hungary has seen a significant expansion in artificial surfaces, primarily due to industrialization and population policies introduced by the central government, which is likely to continue in the coming years. Unfortunately, local climate strategies have been insufficient in preventing cities from experiencing urban sprawl and expansion and preserving local ecosystem services. This underscores the inability of municipalities to defend local interests against central government directives. The findings of this study indicate that the current central policies are the main drivers of land take and urban sprawl and expansion. Prioritizing the compact city model and brownfield developments could effectively mitigate these issues. Finally, the paper advocates that complete jurisdiction over land use decisions be restored to local governments, enabling them to reject investments that may jeopardize local environmental goals.
期刊介绍:
Land Use Policy is an international and interdisciplinary journal concerned with the social, economic, political, legal, physical and planning aspects of urban and rural land use.
Land Use Policy examines issues in geography, agriculture, forestry, irrigation, environmental conservation, housing, urban development and transport in both developed and developing countries through major refereed articles and shorter viewpoint pieces.