Maicon J. Karling , Daniele Durante , Marc G. Genton
{"title":"多元统一斜椭圆分布的共轭特性","authors":"Maicon J. Karling , Daniele Durante , Marc G. Genton","doi":"10.1016/j.jmva.2024.105357","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The family of multivariate unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions has been recently shown to possess fundamental conjugacy properties. When used as priors for the vector of coefficients in probit, tobit, and multinomial probit models, these distributions yield posteriors that still belong to the SUN family. Although this result has led to important advancements in Bayesian inference and computation, its applicability beyond likelihoods associated with fully-observed, discretized, or censored realizations from multivariate Gaussian models remains yet unexplored. This article covers such a gap by proving that the wider family of multivariate unified skew-elliptical (SUE) distributions, which extends SUNs to more general perturbations of elliptical densities, guarantees conjugacy for broader classes of models, beyond those relying on fully-observed, discretized or censored Gaussians. Such a result leverages the closure under linear combinations, conditioning and marginalization of SUE to prove that this family is conjugate to the likelihood induced by regression models for fully-observed, censored or dichotomized realizations from skew-elliptical distributions. This key advancement enlarges the set of models that enable conjugate Bayesian inference to general formulations arising from elliptical and skew-elliptical families, including the multivariate Student’s <span><math><mi>t</mi></math></span> and skew-<span><math><mi>t</mi></math></span>, among others.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":16431,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Multivariate Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Conjugacy properties of multivariate unified skew-elliptical distributions\",\"authors\":\"Maicon J. Karling , Daniele Durante , Marc G. Genton\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jmva.2024.105357\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>The family of multivariate unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions has been recently shown to possess fundamental conjugacy properties. When used as priors for the vector of coefficients in probit, tobit, and multinomial probit models, these distributions yield posteriors that still belong to the SUN family. Although this result has led to important advancements in Bayesian inference and computation, its applicability beyond likelihoods associated with fully-observed, discretized, or censored realizations from multivariate Gaussian models remains yet unexplored. This article covers such a gap by proving that the wider family of multivariate unified skew-elliptical (SUE) distributions, which extends SUNs to more general perturbations of elliptical densities, guarantees conjugacy for broader classes of models, beyond those relying on fully-observed, discretized or censored Gaussians. Such a result leverages the closure under linear combinations, conditioning and marginalization of SUE to prove that this family is conjugate to the likelihood induced by regression models for fully-observed, censored or dichotomized realizations from skew-elliptical distributions. This key advancement enlarges the set of models that enable conjugate Bayesian inference to general formulations arising from elliptical and skew-elliptical families, including the multivariate Student’s <span><math><mi>t</mi></math></span> and skew-<span><math><mi>t</mi></math></span>, among others.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":16431,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Multivariate Analysis\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Multivariate Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0047259X24000642\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Multivariate Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0047259X24000642","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
多变量统一偏正态分布(SUN)族最近被证明具有基本的共轭特性。当用作 probit、tobit 和多叉 probit 模型中系数向量的先验时,这些分布产生的后验仍属于 SUN 系列。尽管这一结果在贝叶斯推理和计算方面取得了重要进展,但它在多变量高斯模型中与完全观测、离散化或删减实现相关的似然之外的适用性仍有待探索。本文通过证明更广泛的多元统一偏斜-椭圆(SUE)分布系列(将 SUNs 扩展到更一般的椭圆密度扰动)来弥补这一空白,从而保证了更广泛类别模型的共轭性,而不仅仅是那些依赖于完全观测、离散化或剔除的高斯模型。这一结果利用了 SUE 的线性组合、条件和边际化下的封闭性,证明该系列与完全观测、离散化或二分化的偏椭圆分布实现的回归模型所诱导的似然共轭。这一重要进展扩大了可进行共轭贝叶斯推断的模型集合,使其适用于椭圆和偏斜-椭圆族的一般公式,包括多元 Student's t 和 skew-t 等。
Conjugacy properties of multivariate unified skew-elliptical distributions
The family of multivariate unified skew-normal (SUN) distributions has been recently shown to possess fundamental conjugacy properties. When used as priors for the vector of coefficients in probit, tobit, and multinomial probit models, these distributions yield posteriors that still belong to the SUN family. Although this result has led to important advancements in Bayesian inference and computation, its applicability beyond likelihoods associated with fully-observed, discretized, or censored realizations from multivariate Gaussian models remains yet unexplored. This article covers such a gap by proving that the wider family of multivariate unified skew-elliptical (SUE) distributions, which extends SUNs to more general perturbations of elliptical densities, guarantees conjugacy for broader classes of models, beyond those relying on fully-observed, discretized or censored Gaussians. Such a result leverages the closure under linear combinations, conditioning and marginalization of SUE to prove that this family is conjugate to the likelihood induced by regression models for fully-observed, censored or dichotomized realizations from skew-elliptical distributions. This key advancement enlarges the set of models that enable conjugate Bayesian inference to general formulations arising from elliptical and skew-elliptical families, including the multivariate Student’s and skew-, among others.
期刊介绍:
Founded in 1971, the Journal of Multivariate Analysis (JMVA) is the central venue for the publication of new, relevant methodology and particularly innovative applications pertaining to the analysis and interpretation of multidimensional data.
The journal welcomes contributions to all aspects of multivariate data analysis and modeling, including cluster analysis, discriminant analysis, factor analysis, and multidimensional continuous or discrete distribution theory. Topics of current interest include, but are not limited to, inferential aspects of
Copula modeling
Functional data analysis
Graphical modeling
High-dimensional data analysis
Image analysis
Multivariate extreme-value theory
Sparse modeling
Spatial statistics.