Trends in the appropriateness of oral antibiotic prescriptions dispensed in the United States from 2010 to 2018.

Background: One of the goals established by the United States National Action Plan to Combat Antibiotic-Resistant Bacteria is to reduce inappropriate outpatient antibiotic prescriptions by 50% by 2020. Recent data on the achievement of this goal is lacking. The objective of our study was to examine recent trends in the appropriateness of oral antibiotic prescriptions dispensed to a commercially insured population in outpatient settings in the United States to quantify the relative trend in inappropriate antibiotic prescribing from 2010 to 2018.

Methods: Our cross-sectional analysis examined oral antibiotic prescriptions dispensed in outpatient settings using the IBM MarketScan Commercial Data from January 2010 to December 2018. Trends in the annual proportion of antibiotic prescriptions classified as appropriate, potentially appropriate, inappropriate, or without any medical visit during a 7 days look-back period were estimated using multivariable generalized linear models with Poisson distribution adjusting for beneficiaries' demographic and infectious conditions.

Results: Approximately 170 million oral antibiotic prescriptions were dispensed to 86 million beneficiaries during 2010 to 2018. The mean age of the study population was 34.5 (±19.1) years, with 58.4% females and 24.6% children. We observed a 12.9% (95% Confidence Interval [CI] = 12.6%-13.2%; p < 0.01) decline in rates of antibiotic use, from 832 to 727 prescriptions per 1000 beneficiaries, from 2010 to 2018. The proportion of prescriptions classified as appropriate increased by 36.7% (95% CI = 36.4%-36.9%; p < 0.01); potentially appropriate prescriptions increased by 9.3% (95% CI = 9.1%-9.4%; p < 0.01); whereas inappropriate prescriptions and those without a medical visit declined by 11.3% (95% CI = 11.2%-11.4%; p < 0.01) and 14.0% (95% CI = 13.9%-14.2%; p < 0.01), respectively. Similar declining trends were observed in use and proportion of inappropriate prescriptions for broad-spectrum antibiotics. In 2018, amoxicillin and azithromycin were the most common appropriate and inappropriate prescription fills, respectively.

Conclusion: Although antibiotic use and inappropriate prescribing declined steadily from 2010 to 2018 in the United States, this study demonstrates that we have not achieved the national goal of reducing inappropriate antibiotic prescribing by 50%.