Predictors of mortality post-gastrostomy in motor neuron disease patients.

Introduction/aims: Motor neuron disease (MND) is a progressive neurodegenerative condition with a limited life expectancy. There is very little data on mortality and its associated factors beyond 30 days following gastrostomy. We explored the demographic, clinical, and nutritional predictors for early mortality at 30, 90, and 180 days following gastrostomy in these patients.

Methods: This was a retrospective study involving 94 MND patients in Western Australia who underwent gastrostomy between 2015 and 2021. Patients were divided into two groups based on mortality at 30, 90, and 180 days post-gastrostomy. T-test (or Mann-Whitney), chi-square test and Fisher's exact test were used for detecting between-group differences in various factors. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with post-gastrostomy mortality at 90 and 180 days.

Results: No mortality was attributable to gastrostomy-related complications. Lower forced vital capacity (FVC) (p = .039) and greater weight loss (%) (p = .022) from diagnosis to gastrostomy were observed in those who died within 30 days post-gastrostomy. Older age (p = .022), male sex (p = .041), lower FVC (p = .04), requiring but not tolerating noninvasive ventilation (p = .035), and greater weight loss (%) (p = .012) were independent predictors of 90-day post-gastrostomy mortality. However, only older age (p = .01) and greater weight loss (p = .009) were predictors of mortality at 180 days post-gastrostomy.

Discussion: Our data indicated that mortality at 90 and 180 days was influenced by the weight loss (%) from diagnosis to gastrostomy, highlighting the importance of nutritional care in the MND population. Gastrostomy placement prior to substantial weight loss may reduce the risk of weight loss-associated mortality and warrants further investigation.