{"title":"在需求不确定的情况下,利用设置结转确定多项目多机群的批量规模","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijpe.2024.109379","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study focuses on the lot sizing problem with setup carry-over in multi-item multi-echelon capacitated production systems under uncertain customer demand for end items, as well as components. We investigate budget-uncertainty robust optimization and scenario-based stochastic programming, to address the uncertainty in customer demand. Three modeling strategies are proposed within the stochastic programming framework, exploring different decision stages for setup carry-over and production quantities. In our examination of the robust model, we explore different robustness parameters, specifically the uncertainty budget and the variation interval. Extensive numerical experiments are conducted to compare the average and worst case performance of the models on out-of-sample scenarios. We fit conditional inference trees to the evaluation results and predict the suitability of robust and stochastic approaches for the test instances based on their problem characteristics. The findings provide valuable insights, potentially enabling decision makers to estimate the most appropriate approach based on certain characteristics of the lot sizing problem that is addressed. Moreover they highlight the importance of choosing appropriate robustness parameters for robust optimization models and emphasize the value of flexibility in carry-over and quantity decisions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14287,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Production Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":9.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Capacitated multi-item multi-echelon lot sizing with setup carry-over under uncertain demand\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijpe.2024.109379\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This study focuses on the lot sizing problem with setup carry-over in multi-item multi-echelon capacitated production systems under uncertain customer demand for end items, as well as components. We investigate budget-uncertainty robust optimization and scenario-based stochastic programming, to address the uncertainty in customer demand. Three modeling strategies are proposed within the stochastic programming framework, exploring different decision stages for setup carry-over and production quantities. In our examination of the robust model, we explore different robustness parameters, specifically the uncertainty budget and the variation interval. Extensive numerical experiments are conducted to compare the average and worst case performance of the models on out-of-sample scenarios. We fit conditional inference trees to the evaluation results and predict the suitability of robust and stochastic approaches for the test instances based on their problem characteristics. The findings provide valuable insights, potentially enabling decision makers to estimate the most appropriate approach based on certain characteristics of the lot sizing problem that is addressed. Moreover they highlight the importance of choosing appropriate robustness parameters for robust optimization models and emphasize the value of flexibility in carry-over and quantity decisions.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14287,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Production Economics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Production Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925527324002366\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Production Economics","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925527324002366","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
Capacitated multi-item multi-echelon lot sizing with setup carry-over under uncertain demand
This study focuses on the lot sizing problem with setup carry-over in multi-item multi-echelon capacitated production systems under uncertain customer demand for end items, as well as components. We investigate budget-uncertainty robust optimization and scenario-based stochastic programming, to address the uncertainty in customer demand. Three modeling strategies are proposed within the stochastic programming framework, exploring different decision stages for setup carry-over and production quantities. In our examination of the robust model, we explore different robustness parameters, specifically the uncertainty budget and the variation interval. Extensive numerical experiments are conducted to compare the average and worst case performance of the models on out-of-sample scenarios. We fit conditional inference trees to the evaluation results and predict the suitability of robust and stochastic approaches for the test instances based on their problem characteristics. The findings provide valuable insights, potentially enabling decision makers to estimate the most appropriate approach based on certain characteristics of the lot sizing problem that is addressed. Moreover they highlight the importance of choosing appropriate robustness parameters for robust optimization models and emphasize the value of flexibility in carry-over and quantity decisions.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Production Economics focuses on the interface between engineering and management. It covers all aspects of manufacturing and process industries, as well as production in general. The journal is interdisciplinary, considering activities throughout the product life cycle and material flow cycle. It aims to disseminate knowledge for improving industrial practice and strengthening the theoretical base for decision making. The journal serves as a forum for exchanging ideas and presenting new developments in theory and application, combining academic standards with practical value for industrial applications.