SIS 流行病模型中远离平衡模式的行为诱导相变:全局反馈与非局部反馈

IF 2.9 3区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-09 DOI:10.1016/j.physd.2024.134316
Malay Banerjee , Vitaly Volpert , Piero Manfredi , Alberto d’Onofrio
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这里,我们探讨了在定性 SIS 型传染病的基本时空模型中实施社会距离所引发的阶段转换。我们考虑人类根据有关疾病传播的时空信息做出的决策。我们的研究表明,非局部和全局反馈虽然会导致相同的空间均质均衡,但其动态行为与根据局部信息做出决策时观察到的行为截然不同。由于反馈的非局部性,出现了各种现象:(i) 原本稳定的均质平衡不稳定;(ii) 核化/入侵现象;(iii) 标准和广义游波的出现,这可能导致波的平移;(iv) 在全球信息反馈的情况下,出现局部稳定的远离平衡模式,这种模式与局部稳定的疾病消除平衡共存。因此,人类行为相关反馈的非局部性在系统中引入了丰富的动态行为和模式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Behavior-induced phase transitions with far from equilibrium patterning in a SIS epidemic model: Global vs non-local feedback

Here, we explore the phase transitions triggered by the implementation of social distancing in a basic spatiotemporal model of a qualitative SIS-type infectious disease. We consider human decisions made based on spatiotemporal information regarding the disease spread. This information can be either local, nonlocal with a finite range, or global in scope.

We show that nonlocal and global feedbacks, while resulting in the same spatially homogeneous equilibria, lead to a dynamic behavior that is fundamentally distinct from what is observed when decisions are made based on local information.

Various phenomena arise due to the nonlocal nature of the feedback: (i) Instabilization of Otherwise Stable Homogeneous Equilibria; (ii) Nucleation/Invasion Phenomena; (iii) Onset of Standard and Generalized Traveling Waves, which can incur in wave-pinning; iv) in case of Global Information Feedback, onset of locally stable Far From Equilibrium Patterns that coexist with a locally stable disease-elimination equilibrium. Thus, the nonlocal nature of the human behavior-related feedback introduces a rich array of dynamic behaviors and patterns in the system.

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来源期刊
Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena
Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 物理-物理:数学物理
CiteScore
7.30
自引率
7.50%
发文量
213
审稿时长
65 days
期刊介绍: Physica D (Nonlinear Phenomena) publishes research and review articles reporting on experimental and theoretical works, techniques and ideas that advance the understanding of nonlinear phenomena. Topics encompass wave motion in physical, chemical and biological systems; physical or biological phenomena governed by nonlinear field equations, including hydrodynamics and turbulence; pattern formation and cooperative phenomena; instability, bifurcations, chaos, and space-time disorder; integrable/Hamiltonian systems; asymptotic analysis and, more generally, mathematical methods for nonlinear systems.
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