Full-field experiment-aided virtual modelling framework for inverse-based stochastic prediction of structures with elastoplasticity

Forecasting of stochastic ductile failures in fabrication and service stages are challenging tasks of advanced structures in practical engineering. Due to the prohibitive costs of repetitive experimental tests to quantify optimal failure-related parameters, numerous studies have turned to simulation-based uncertainty quantification. However, the credibility of these approaches is frequently doubted by the function-generated distribution of random data involved. Thus, an accurate assessment of the material parameters ascertains the appropriate estimation of uncertain parameters, which is essential for the risk/safety assessment of structures in different stages. In this paper, a full-field experiment-aided virtual modelling framework for inverse-based prediction of stochastic elastoplastic failure (EVMF-ISP) is proposed to deliver precise insights regarding the effective distribution range of mechanical parameters. To this end, all available experiment observations serve as the reference for assessing the prior and posterior probability density of the unknown parameters through the real-time inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) module. The framework can be divided into three parts, where initially a pre-virtual model (PRVM) is formulated, and Bayesian inference is implemented to propagate the experiment observations backwards to ascertain the uncertain parameters. Then, an advanced multidimensional slice sampling method is developed to deal with the derived complex posterior probability density function (PDF) of mechanical parameters. In the end, a reliable stochastic elastoplastic analysis can be conducted with the revised uncertain samples and finalised with post-virtual models (POVMs) for the concerned structures. Such that, accurate and efficient determination of nonlinear response of structures can be directly predicted. The EVMF-ISP framework is logically presented and thoroughly illustrated with practical applications.