HIV Treatment Outcomes After 10 years on ART in the TREAT Asia Observational Database and Australian HIV Observational Database.

Background: Increasing numbers of people with HIV have received prolonged antiretroviral therapy (ART). We assessed long-term immunological and survival outcomes among people with HIV from Asia (TREAT Asia HIV Observational Database) and Australia (Australian HIV Observational Database).

Methods: People with HIV receiving ART for ≥10 years were included. Factors associated with CD4 counts in years 11-15 of ART were analyzed using repeated measures linear regression. Survival after 10 years was analyzed using competing risk regression.

Results: There were 7139 people included: 4867 (68%) from the TREAT Asia HIV Observational Database and 2272 (32%) from the Australian HIV Observational Database. Higher CD4 levels after 10 years were observed if the nadir CD4 in the first decade was higher (CD4 (cells/µL) 101-200: difference = 35, 95% CI: 18 to 51; >200: difference = 125, 95% CI: 107 to 142) compared with ≤50. The same patterns were observed in those who achieved CD4 ≥500 cells/µL, which subsequently decreased to <500 (difference = 225, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 213 to 236), or in those who achieved and maintained CD4 ≥500 cells/µL (difference = 402, 95% CI: 384 to 420), compared with always <500 in the previous decade. Previous protease inhibitor (PI)-based regimen (difference=-17, 95% CI -33 to -1) compared with no PI, and previous treatment interruptions (TI) of 14 days to 3 months and >6 months were associated with lower CD4 counts after 10 years (difference = -38, 95% CI -62 to -15 and difference=-44, 95% CI -61 to -27, respectively) compared with no TI. The mortality rate was 1.04 per 100 person-years. Virological failure was associated with subsequent mortality (subhazard ratio = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.71).

Conclusions: Sustaining high CD4 levels and minimizing TI has far-reaching benefits well beyond the first decade of ART.