Supercomputing in the biological sciences: Toward Zettascale and Yottascale simulations

Molecular simulations of biological systems tend to be significantly more compute-intensive than those in materials science and astrophysics, due to important contributions of long-range electrostatic forces and large numbers of time steps (>1E9) required. Simulations of biomolecular complexes of microseconds to milliseconds are considered state-of-the-art today. However, these time scales are miniscule in comparison to physiological time scales relevant to molecular machine activity, drug action, and elongation cycles for protein synthesis, RNA synthesis, and DNA synthesis (seconds to days). While an exascale supercomputer has simulated an entire virus for nanoseconds, this supercomputer would need to be 10 billion times faster to simulate that virus for 3 hours of physiological time, demonstrating the insatiable need for computing power. With growing interest in computational drug design from the pharmaceutical sector, the biological sciences are positioned to be an industry driver in computing.