多重流和可信度锥:利用未来研究的概念描绘政策动态

IF 1.8 Q3 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION
Andrea Migone, Michael Howlett
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引用次数: 0

摘要

预测未来是决策过程中一项高度不确定但又必不可少的任务,它因线性和非线性政策动态的存在而变得复杂。其中一个框架对预测未来非常有用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multiple Streams and Plausibility Cones: Using Concepts from Future Studies to Depict Policy Dynamics
Anticipating the future is a highly uncertain but essential task in policy-making made complex by the existence of both linear and non-linear policy dynamics. One framework which is useful in antic...
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
5.60%
发文量
82
期刊介绍: IJPA is an international, research-driven, and peer-reviewed publication aimed at exploring the latest developments in public administration, public policy, and management – translating theory for practice and practice into theory. IJPA is a truly global journal in scope, covering developed, emerging and transitional states, nonprofit and nongovernmental organizations, and all areas of public activity. We welcome theoretical, analytical, quantitative, qualitative, empirical, and practitioner-based, as well as individual country-based, region-based, and especially comparative works. Our target audience is not just scholars, but also policy-makers and practitioners, including aspiring public sector leaders engaged in education and research in the growing global public service, policy, and administration, and governance community.
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