非高斯空间数据的非平稳因子共轭模型

Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI:10.1002/sta4.715
Sagnik Mondal, Pavel Krupskii, Marc G. Genton
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们为非平稳复制空间数据引入了一种新的 copula 模型。它基于这样一个假设,即存在一个共同因子来控制空间过程中所有观测值的共同依赖性。因此,与高斯共线模型不同,我们的建议可以对尾部依赖性和尾部不对称进行建模。此外,我们还证明了新模型可以涵盖尾象限独立性和尾部依赖性之间的全部依赖关系。虽然该模型的对数似然可以用简单的形式得到,但我们讨论了其数值计算问题和近似推断的方法。利用估计的 copula 模型,可以在未观测到空间过程的位置对空间过程进行插值。我们将所提出的模型应用于瑞士西部的气温数据,并将其性能与其静态版本和高斯 copula 模型进行了比较。
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A non‐stationary factor copula model for non‐Gaussian spatial data
We introduce a new copula model for non‐stationary replicated spatial data. It is based on the assumption that a common factor exists that controls the joint dependence of all the observations from the spatial process. As a result, our proposal can model tail dependence and tail asymmetry, unlike the Gaussian copula model. Moreover, we show that the new model can cover a full range of dependence between tail quadrant independence and tail dependence. Although the log‐likelihood of the model can be obtained in a simple form, we discuss its numerical computational issues and ways to approximate it for drawing inference. Using the estimated copula model, the spatial process can be interpolated at locations where it is not observed. We apply the proposed model to temperature data over the western part of Switzerland, and we compare its performance with that of its stationary version and with the Gaussian copula model.
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