在具有隐性高斯漂移的市场中,利用专家意见在固定到达时间实现电力效用最大化

IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Abdelali Gabih, Hakam Kondakji, Ralf Wunderlich
{"title":"在具有隐性高斯漂移的市场中,利用专家意见在固定到达时间实现电力效用最大化","authors":"Abdelali Gabih,&nbsp;Hakam Kondakji,&nbsp;Ralf Wunderlich","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06172-5","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper we study optimal trading strategies in a financial market in which stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Investors obtain information on that drift by observing stock returns. Moreover, expert opinions in the form of signals about the current state of the drift arriving at fixed and known dates are included in the analysis. Drift estimates are based on Kalman filter techniques. They are used to transform a power utility maximization problem under partial information into an optimization problem under full information where the state variable is the filter of the drift. The dynamic programming equation for this problem is studied and closed-form solutions for the value function and the optimal trading strategy of an investor are derived. They allow to quantify the monetary value of information delivered by the expert opinions. We illustrate our theoretical findings by results of extensive numerical experiments.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"341 2-3","pages":"897 - 936"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10479-024-06172-5.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Power utility maximization with expert opinions at fixed arrival times in a market with hidden Gaussian drift\",\"authors\":\"Abdelali Gabih,&nbsp;Hakam Kondakji,&nbsp;Ralf Wunderlich\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s10479-024-06172-5\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>In this paper we study optimal trading strategies in a financial market in which stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Investors obtain information on that drift by observing stock returns. Moreover, expert opinions in the form of signals about the current state of the drift arriving at fixed and known dates are included in the analysis. Drift estimates are based on Kalman filter techniques. They are used to transform a power utility maximization problem under partial information into an optimization problem under full information where the state variable is the filter of the drift. The dynamic programming equation for this problem is studied and closed-form solutions for the value function and the optimal trading strategy of an investor are derived. They allow to quantify the monetary value of information delivered by the expert opinions. We illustrate our theoretical findings by results of extensive numerical experiments.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":8215,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Annals of Operations Research\",\"volume\":\"341 2-3\",\"pages\":\"897 - 936\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-11\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10479-024-06172-5.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Annals of Operations Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10479-024-06172-5\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Annals of Operations Research","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10479-024-06172-5","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们研究了一个金融市场中的最优交易策略,在这个市场中,股票收益取决于一个隐藏的高斯均值回复漂移过程。投资者通过观察股票收益率来获取有关漂移的信息。此外,分析中还包括专家意见,即在固定和已知日期到达的有关漂移当前状态的信号。漂移估计基于卡尔曼滤波技术。它们用于将部分信息下的功率效用最大化问题转化为完全信息下的优化问题,其中状态变量就是漂移的滤波器。对这一问题的动态编程方程进行了研究,并得出了价值函数的闭式解和投资者的最优交易策略。它们可以量化专家意见所提供信息的货币价值。我们通过大量的数值实验结果来说明我们的理论发现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Power utility maximization with expert opinions at fixed arrival times in a market with hidden Gaussian drift

Power utility maximization with expert opinions at fixed arrival times in a market with hidden Gaussian drift

In this paper we study optimal trading strategies in a financial market in which stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Investors obtain information on that drift by observing stock returns. Moreover, expert opinions in the form of signals about the current state of the drift arriving at fixed and known dates are included in the analysis. Drift estimates are based on Kalman filter techniques. They are used to transform a power utility maximization problem under partial information into an optimization problem under full information where the state variable is the filter of the drift. The dynamic programming equation for this problem is studied and closed-form solutions for the value function and the optimal trading strategy of an investor are derived. They allow to quantify the monetary value of information delivered by the expert opinions. We illustrate our theoretical findings by results of extensive numerical experiments.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Annals of Operations Research
Annals of Operations Research 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
596
审稿时长
8.4 months
期刊介绍: The Annals of Operations Research publishes peer-reviewed original articles dealing with key aspects of operations research, including theory, practice, and computation. The journal publishes full-length research articles, short notes, expositions and surveys, reports on computational studies, and case studies that present new and innovative practical applications. In addition to regular issues, the journal publishes periodic special volumes that focus on defined fields of operations research, ranging from the highly theoretical to the algorithmic and the applied. These volumes have one or more Guest Editors who are responsible for collecting the papers and overseeing the refereeing process.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信