金字塔形指标:评估权重不确定情况下计划比较的稳健性

IF 2.8 2区 社会学 Q1 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY
Li-zhu Yue, Jia-wei Zhang, Yue Lv
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在数字时代,不仅指标监测的范围扩大了,而且指标本身也变得越来越多层次。从理论上讲,层次越多,指标权重的不确定性就越大。这就需要对方案比较的稳健性进行评估,以降低评估风险。本研究以偏序评价方法为分析工具,旨在阐明单层次指标偏序表示的原理和方法。在此基础上,分析多层次指标的表示方法。研究结果表明,对于两级指标体系,只需明确一级指标和二级指标之间的权重顺序即可。通过偏序哈斯图,可以对方案进行排序,并分析比较的稳健性。此外,还可将三级和四级指标体系分解为多个二级指标体系,完成偏序评价。案例分析表明,偏序不确定性分析方法可以整合决策者的偏好。哈塞图不仅能对方案进行排序,还能实现分层聚类,直观地反映方案的稳定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Pyramid-Shaped Indicators: Evaluating the Robustness of Scheme Comparisons Under Weight Uncertainty

Pyramid-Shaped Indicators: Evaluating the Robustness of Scheme Comparisons Under Weight Uncertainty

In the digital age, not only has the scope of indicator monitoring expanded but also the indicators themselves have become increasingly multilevel. Theoretically, the greater the number of levels, the more uncertainty there is in the indicators’ weights. This necessitates the evaluation of the robustness of scheme comparisons to reduce evaluation risks. By using partial order evaluation methods as analytical tools, this study aims to delineate the principles and methods of partial order representation for single-level indicators. Based on this delineation, it then aims to analyze the representation methods for multilevel indicators. The results reveal that for a two-level indicator system, it is only necessary to clarify the order of weights between the first- and second-level indicators. Through a partial order Hasse diagram, the schemes can be ranked and the robustness of the comparison can be analyzed. Furthermore, three- and four-level indicator systems can be decomposed into several two-level indicator systems to complete the partial order evaluation. A case analysis demonstrates that the partial order uncertainty analysis method can integrate decision-makers’ preferences. The Hasse diagram not only ranks the schemes but also achieves stratified clustering, which intuitively reflects the stability of the schemes.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.30
自引率
6.50%
发文量
174
期刊介绍: Since its foundation in 1974, Social Indicators Research has become the leading journal on problems related to the measurement of all aspects of the quality of life. The journal continues to publish results of research on all aspects of the quality of life and includes studies that reflect developments in the field. It devotes special attention to studies on such topics as sustainability of quality of life, sustainable development, and the relationship between quality of life and sustainability. The topics represented in the journal cover and involve a variety of segmentations, such as social groups, spatial and temporal coordinates, population composition, and life domains. The journal presents empirical, philosophical and methodological studies that cover the entire spectrum of society and are devoted to giving evidences through indicators. It considers indicators in their different typologies, and gives special attention to indicators that are able to meet the need of understanding social realities and phenomena that are increasingly more complex, interrelated, interacted and dynamical. In addition, it presents studies aimed at defining new approaches in constructing indicators.
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