在中国西北部黄河流域甘肃段利用 OWA 和攻击情景模拟评估生态网络的恢复能力

Kexin Zhang, Jinghu Pan
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摘要

快速城市化导致区域生态系统质量迅速下降,同时也造成景观破碎化,降低了生态系统的连通性。加强生态网络韧性有助于改善生态环境质量,保护生物多样性,实现生态效益最大化。为了基于 2020 年的数据对生态网络韧性进行定量评估,我们选择了黄河流域甘肃地区作为研究案例。首先,基于四种生态系统服务(ES)--水产量、碳储存、土壤保持和栖息地质量,引入有序加权平均法(OWA),通过计算不同风险系数下的有序权重来权衡多种ES,从而确定生态源。采用随机攻击和蓄意攻击两种节点攻击模拟来定量评估生态网络的恢复力,从而模拟外部干扰的影响。在网络弹性评估过程中引入了弹性阈值的概念。研究结果表明:(1) 在研究区域内发现了 156 条生态走廊,总长度达 6569.3 千米;73 个生态源,总面积达 20840 平方千米。这些发现总体上表现为西南地区集中连片,其他地区破碎分散。(2) 生态网络的平均度数为 4.27,平均路径长度为 4.08,聚类系数为 0.47。(3) 与两种情况下的攻击模拟相比,生态网络对自然灾害扰动的恢复力更强;恢复力阈值为 0.34。根据节点全局特征和弹性曲线的最终结果,提出了生态保护建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of ecological network resilience using OWA and attack scenario simulation in the Gansu section of the Yellow River Basin, NW China
Regional ecosystem quality has been rapidly declining as a result of rapid urbanization, which has also fragmented landscapes and reduced ecosystem connectedness. Strengthening ecological network resilience helps improve the ecological environment's quality, protect biodiversity, and maximize ecological benefits. To quantitatively assess ecological network resilience based on 2020 data, we have selected the Gansu region of the Yellow River Basin as a case study in this study due to its significant ecological condition and sensitive vulnerability. Firstly, based on four ecosystem services (ESs)—water yield, carbon storage, soil conservation, and habitat quality—the ordered weighted averaging (OWA) method is introduced to determine ecological sources by calculating ordered weights under different risk coefficients to weigh multiple ESs. Two node attack simulations—random attack and deliberate attack—are used for quantitatively evaluating ecological network resilience, which can simulate the impact of external interference. The concept of a resilience threshold is introduced into the evaluation process of network resilience. The findings indicate that (1) 156 ecological corridors spanning a total distance of 6,569.3 km and 73 ecological sources totalling 20,840 km2 were found in the study area. These findings generally demonstrate a concentrated and contiguous configuration in the southwestern region and a broken and scattered configuration in other regions. (2) With a mean degree of 4.27, a mean path length of 4.08, and a clustering coefficient of 0.47, an undirected and unweighted complex network with improved connectivity and no discernible clustering characteristics was established. (3) The ecological network is more resilient to perturbations from natural disasters when compared to assault simulations in two scenarios; the resilience threshold is 0.34. Considering the final results of node global features and resilience curves, ecological protection suggestions are proposed.
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