利用机器学习预测金融市场的系统性风险

Qiaoyu Zou
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摘要

本研究利用支持向量机(SVM)处理高维数据和适应不同数据分布的能力,深入探讨如何在复杂且相互关联的金融市场领域使用支持向量机预测系统性风险。这种方法旨在超越传统的金融分析工具,提供对系统风险更详细的了解。研究结果预计将大大提高风险评估能力,并对金融风险管理做出重大贡献,从而提高金融机构和监管机构洞察力的准确性和及时性。这项研究不仅将 SVM 作为一种创新的分析工具引入金融风险分析,有可能推动方法论的进一步发展和其他机器学习技术的采用,而且还试图为系统性风险的动态变化提供更深入的见解。研究结果具有相当大的教育意义和实用价值,为学者和业内专业人士有效弥合了学术理论与实际应用之间的差距。总之,这项研究代表着方法创新迈出了有意义的一步,为未来的探索奠定了基础,强调了 SVM 在系统性风险预测中的有效性,倡导将机器学习与传统金融分析相结合,从而推动金融风险评估实践的发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predicting Systemic Risk in Financial Markets Using Machine Learning
This research delves into the use of Support Vector Machines (SVM) to predict systemic risk in the complex and interconnected realm of financial markets, employing SVM's ability to handle high-dimensional data and adapt to diverse data distributions. This approach aims to surpass traditional financial analysis tools by providing a more detailed understanding of systemic risk. The results anticipate a significant enhancement in risk assessment and a substantial contribution to financial risk management, aiming to bolster the precision and timeliness of insights for financial institutions and regulators. This study not only introduces SVM as an innovative analytical tool in financial risk analysis, potentially spurring further methodological advancements and the adoption of other machine learning techniques, but also seeks to offer deeper insights into the dynamics of systemic risk. The findings hold considerable educational and practical value, effectively bridging the gap between academic theory and real-world application for both scholars and industry professionals. Conclusively, the research represents a meaningful step in methodological innovation and lays a groundwork for future exploration, underscoring SVM's effectiveness in systemic risk prediction and advocating for the integration of machine learning with traditional financial analysis, thereby aiding the evolution of financial risk assessment practices.
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