Predictors of prolonged supratherapeutic serum lithium concentrations: a retrospective chart review.

Introduction: The Extracorporeal Treatments in Poisoning (EXTRIP) workgroup suggests hemodialysis in severe lithium poisoning if specific criteria are met. One criterion is if the expected time to obtain a lithium concentration <1.0 mEq/L with optimal management is >36 h. There are a lack of data regarding which patient characteristics are associated with the rate at which patients achieve a lithium concentration <1.0 mEq/L.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective chart review analyzing hospital electronic medical records. Inclusion criteria consisted of a lithium concentration >1.2 mEq/L during hospitalization. We excluded patients who received extracorporeal treatment before 36 h elapsed from time of initial lithium concentration >1.2 mEq/L. The primary analysis consisted of a Cox regression and a secondary analysis evaluated the nomogram method described by Buckley and colleagues for predicting prolonged supratherapeutic lithium concentration.

Results: One hundred and one patients were included in the study. The median time to reach a lithium concentration <1.0 mEq/L was 42.5 h (IQR: 33.8-51.1). Older patients, patients taking a thiazide, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker, patients with a higher initial lithium concentration, and patients with higher sodium concentrations achieved a lithium concentration <1 mEq/L at a slower rate. For the nomogram analysis, sensitivity (61.5%) and specificity (54.5%) were moderate, the positive predictive value (16.7%) was poor, and the negative predictive value (90.6%) was excellent.

Discussion: The results from our primary analysis suggest that identifying higher serum sodium concentration and use of certain antihypertensives that decrease glomerular filtration rate as predictors of an increased time to reach a therapeutic lithium concentration may help identify patients who meet the Extracorporeal Treatments in Poisoning criteria for hemodialysis. The nomogram method performed similarly to prior validation studies.

Conclusions: In this retrospective chart review of patients with supratherapeutic lithium concentrations, we identified several risk factors for prolonged supratherapeutic lithium concentrations.