财务报表可读性与股价暴跌风险:信息不对称与股票流动性的中介作用

IF 3.3 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Bahaa Saleeb Agaiby Bakhiet
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的本研究旨在深入探讨财务报表可读性(FSR)可能影响股价暴跌概率的机制。本研究使用 2016 年至 2019 年期间在埃及证券交易所上市的 107 家非金融企业的数据,利用结构方程建模(SEM)研究信息不对称和股票流动性的中介作用。为增强稳健性,作者采用了 Bootstrap 方法,进行了 5000 次迭代,以对结果进行一致验证。研究结果本研究的结果确定了财务报表可读性与股价暴跌风险之间相关性的两个关键中介因素。首先,信息不对称部分调节了这种关联。复杂的财务报表允许管理者隐藏不利消息,从而增加了信息不对称。因此,投资者在评估公司风险和业绩时面临挑战,当这些隐藏信息被披露时,股价暴跌的概率就会上升。其次,研究结果表明,股票流动性起着关键的中介作用。可读性较低的财务报表阻碍了股票的流动性,使投资者更难以有效地交易股票。流动性的降低放大了负面新闻的影响,可能会增加崩盘风险。重要的是,我们的研究结果证明了各种测量方法的稳健性,包括两个可读性指标和两个崩盘风险代理变量,并通过 SEM 和 Bootstrap 方法进行了验证。相对有限的样本量可能会影响研究结果的广泛适用性。此外,本研究是在埃及环境下进行的,那里的财务报告是用阿拉伯语进行的。这种语言和文化上的特殊性可能会影响研究结果在埃及和阿拉伯背景下的解释和推广。为克服这一局限性,本文建议在不同的语言和文化环境中开展比较研究。 实际意义本研究的成果对政策制定者和监管者具有重大意义,强调了持续努力加强财务报告标准的必要性。清晰易读的财务报告不仅有助于提高市场透明度,还能增强金融市场的整体稳定性和复原力。我们鼓励政策制定者在制定或修订准则时考虑我们的研究结果,以确保可读性和透明度,从而降低市场混乱的风险。此外,公司应认识到复杂财务报告的不利影响,优先考虑透明、可读性强的报告,以促进投资者信任并降低股价暴跌风险。本文重点研究了信息不对称和股票流动性的中介作用,提出了新颖的见解,推进了对风险管理和财务报告的理论理解和实践意义。本研究拓展了当前关于金融服务回报与股价崩盘概率之间关系的知识体系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial statements readability and stock price crash risk: the mediating roles of information asymmetry and stock liquidity

Purpose

This study aims to delve into the mechanisms through which financial statements readability (FSR) may impact the probability of stock price crashes. It specifically examines how information asymmetry and stock liquidity mediate this relationship.

Design/methodology/approach

The study uses data from 107 nonfinancial firms listed on the Egyptian Stock Exchange between 2016 and 2019 to investigate the mediating roles of information asymmetry and stock liquidity using structural equation modeling (SEM). To enhance robustness, the author incorporates the Bootstrap method, conducting 5,000 iterations for consistent validation of results.

Findings

The findings of this study identify two crucial mediators in the correlation between the readability of financial statements and stock price crash risk. First, information asymmetry partially mediates this association. Complex financial statements allow managers to hide adverse news, thereby increasing information asymmetry. Consequently, investors face challenges in assessing the company’s risk and performance, elevating the probability of stock price crashes when such concealed information is disclosed. Second, the results indicate that stock liquidity plays a key mediating role. Less-readable financial statements hinder stock liquidity, making it more difficult for investors to trade shares efficiently. This reduced liquidity amplifies the influence of negative news, potentially increasing the crash risk. Importantly, our findings demonstrate robustness across various measures, encompassing two readability indicators and two crash risk proxies, validated through both SEM and Bootstrap methods.

Research limitations/implications

Although this research provides valuable insights, it is critical to acknowledge its limitations. The relatively limited sample size may affect the broader applicability of the findings. Moreover, this study was carried out in the Egyptian setting, where financial reporting is conducted in Arabic. This linguistic and cultural specificity could influence the interpretation and generalizability of the findings beyond the Egyptian and Arab contexts. To overcome this limitation, this paper recommends conducting comparative research in diverse linguistic and cultural environments.

Practical implications

The outcomes of this research carry substantial implications for policymakers and regulators, emphasizing the need for ongoing efforts to enhance financial reporting standards. Clear and readable financial reports contribute not only to market transparency but also to the overall stability and resilience of financial markets. Policymakers are encouraged to consider our findings when shaping or revising standards to ensure readability and transparency, potentially reducing the risk of market disruptions. Furthermore, companies should recognize the adverse impact of complex financial reports, prioritizing transparent and readable reporting to foster investor trust and mitigate crash risks.

Originality/value

This research comprehensively analyzes the intricate relationships among FSR, information asymmetry, stock liquidity and stock price crash risk. Focusing on the mediating roles of information asymmetry and stock liquidity, this paper provides novel insights, advancing theoretical understanding and practical implications for risk management and financial reporting. This study expands the current body of knowledge on how FSR is related to the probability of stock price crashes.

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CiteScore
5.80
自引率
16.00%
发文量
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