Guanglei HongUniversity of Chicago, Jonah DeutschMathematica, Peter KressMathematica, Jose Eos TrinidadUniversity of California-Berkeley, Zhengyan XuUniversity of Pennsylvania
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引用次数: 0
摘要
在教育、卫生和人类服务领域,干预计划通常由许多地方组织实施。确定哪些组织更有效,对于从理论上描述有效的实践以及采取干预措施提高无效组织的能力至关重要。在多地点随机试验中,特定地点的意向治疗(ITT)效果很可能是衡量组织有效性的无效指标,并可能导致不公平的决策。这是因为各个地点的当地生态条件不同,包括客户构成、替代项目和社区背景。应用潜在结果框架,本研究提出了组织相对有效性的数学定义。该估算方法将重点组织的绩效与其当地生态条件相同的组织的绩效进行对比。通过利用观察到的对照组结果来捕捉替代计划和社区环境的混杂影响,该识别依赖于相对较弱的假设。我们提出了一个两步混合效应建模(2SME)程序。与针对特定地点的 ITT 分析或仅对观察到的基线参与者构成的地点间差异进行调整的分析相比,模拟结果表明该方法有明显改善。我们通过重新分析 "全国职业训练营研究"(National Job CorpsStudy)的数据,对各个职业训练营中心的相对有效性进行了评估,从而证明了该方法的有效性。这一新战略有望缓解将一些最有效的职业培训团中心错误归类为最无效的情况,反之亦然。
Organizational Effectiveness: A New Strategy to Leverage Multisite Randomized Trials for Valid Assessment
In education, health, and human services, an intervention program is usually
implemented by many local organizations. Determining which organizations are
more effective is essential for theoretically characterizing effective
practices and for intervening to enhance the capacity of ineffective
organizations. In multisite randomized trials, site-specific intention-to-treat
(ITT) effects are likely invalid indicators for organizational effectiveness
and may lead to inequitable decisions. This is because sites differ in their
local ecological conditions including client composition, alternative programs,
and community context. Applying the potential outcomes framework, this study
proposes a mathematical definition for the relative effectiveness of an
organization. The estimand contrasts the performance of a focal organization
with those that share the features of its local ecological conditions. The
identification relies on relatively weak assumptions by leveraging observed
control group outcomes that capture the confounding impacts of alternative
programs and community context. We propose a two-step mixed-effects modeling
(2SME) procedure. Simulations demonstrate significant improvements when
compared with site-specific ITT analyses or analyses that only adjust for
between-site differences in the observed baseline participant composition. We
illustrate its use through an evaluation of the relative effectiveness of
individual Job Corps centers by reanalyzing data from the National Job Corps
Study, a multisite randomized trial that included 100 Job Corps centers
nationwide serving disadvantaged youths. The new strategy promises to alleviate
consequential misclassifications of some of the most effective Job Corps
centers as least effective and vice versa.