市场力量对银行稳定性的影响:越南的经验证据

Nhật Minh Nguyễn, Thị Phương Anh Trần, Thị Thu Trang Nguyễn
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用2015年第二季度至2023年第三季度22家商业银行的季度非平衡面板数据集,结合面板数据分析模型,研究了市场力量对越南商业银行稳定性的影响。研究结果表明,市场力量对越南商业银行的稳定性有负面影响,这意味着竞争更激烈的银行市场将具有更高的稳定性。此外,较高的不良贷款率、贷存比和通货膨胀也会降低银行的稳定性,因为这些因素会增加破产风险、流动性风险和信贷风险。在此基础上,本文提出了一些提高越南商业银行稳定性的政策建议,包括创造良好的银行经营环境、鼓励银行市场的多元化和创新(如支持小型银行增加资本或在可控的情况下建立金融科技公司)。此外,商业银行需要积极管理其内部因素,如信贷风险和存贷比,以确保稳定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The impact of market power on bank stability: Empirical evidence from Vietnam
This paper investigates the impact of market power on the stability of Vietnamese commercial banks using a quarterly unbalanced panel data set of 22 commercial banks in the period from Q2:2015 to Q3:2023, combined with panel data analysis models. Research results show that market power has a negative impact on the stability of Vietnamese commercial banks, implying that a more competitive banking market will have higher stability. In addition, a higher non-performing loan ratio, loan-to-deposit ratio and inflation also make banks less stable, as these factors increase bankruptcy risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk. On that basis, this paper proposes some policy recommendations to improve the stability of Vietnamese commercial banks, including creating a favorable banking business environment, encouraging diversification and innovation in the banking market (such as supporting small banks to increase capital or establish FinTech in a controlled manner). In addition, commercial banks need to proactively manage their internal factors such as credit risk and loan to deposit ratio to ensure stability.
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