考虑到历史匹配预测误差的离线数据驱动双代用框架

IF 4.2 2区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
{"title":"考虑到历史匹配预测误差的离线数据驱动双代用框架","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.cageo.2024.105680","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>High computer power has long been a critical ingredient that affects the effectiveness and efficiency of history matching. Data-driven surrogate modeling as an efficient strategy can accelerate the history-matching process by constructing machine learning-based models with high computing speed but reduced accuracy. However, the applicability of surrogate models for different history-matching problems is uncertain due to the influence of data quality and quantity, model architectures, and hyperparameters. To overcome this issue, an offline data-driven dual-surrogate framework (ODDF) that considers the prediction error of surrogate models for history matching is proposed, where one surrogate model predicts the production data of reservoirs and the other one learns the prediction error of the former surrogate. The first surrogate model considers the time-series characteristics of production data using a recurrent neural network, while the second surrogate model regards the two-dimensional spatial correlation characteristics of multivariate prediction error using a fully convolutional neural network. Furthermore, an enhanced error model is applied to incorporate the prediction error into the objective function to reduce the influence of the prediction error on inversion results. Based on this hybrid framework, one can improve the prediction accuracy of surrogate models in history matching when the architectures or hyperparameters of surrogate models are not optimal. Additionally, one can obtain satisfactory results for history matching and uncertainty quantification based on surrogate modeling. The proposed framework is validated on the history matching of two- and three-dimensional reservoir models. The results show that the proposed method is robust in constructing the surrogate models and predicting the production data of reservoirs, which improves the efficiency and reliability of history matching.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55221,"journal":{"name":"Computers & Geosciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"An offline data-driven dual-surrogate framework considering prediction error for history matching\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.cageo.2024.105680\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>High computer power has long been a critical ingredient that affects the effectiveness and efficiency of history matching. Data-driven surrogate modeling as an efficient strategy can accelerate the history-matching process by constructing machine learning-based models with high computing speed but reduced accuracy. However, the applicability of surrogate models for different history-matching problems is uncertain due to the influence of data quality and quantity, model architectures, and hyperparameters. To overcome this issue, an offline data-driven dual-surrogate framework (ODDF) that considers the prediction error of surrogate models for history matching is proposed, where one surrogate model predicts the production data of reservoirs and the other one learns the prediction error of the former surrogate. The first surrogate model considers the time-series characteristics of production data using a recurrent neural network, while the second surrogate model regards the two-dimensional spatial correlation characteristics of multivariate prediction error using a fully convolutional neural network. Furthermore, an enhanced error model is applied to incorporate the prediction error into the objective function to reduce the influence of the prediction error on inversion results. Based on this hybrid framework, one can improve the prediction accuracy of surrogate models in history matching when the architectures or hyperparameters of surrogate models are not optimal. Additionally, one can obtain satisfactory results for history matching and uncertainty quantification based on surrogate modeling. The proposed framework is validated on the history matching of two- and three-dimensional reservoir models. The results show that the proposed method is robust in constructing the surrogate models and predicting the production data of reservoirs, which improves the efficiency and reliability of history matching.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":55221,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Computers & Geosciences\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Computers & Geosciences\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0098300424001638\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Computers & Geosciences","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0098300424001638","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

长期以来,高计算能力一直是影响历史匹配效果和效率的关键因素。数据驱动的代用模型作为一种高效策略,可以通过构建基于机器学习的模型来加速历史匹配过程,虽然计算速度快,但准确性却有所降低。然而,由于数据质量和数量、模型架构和超参数的影响,代用模型对不同历史匹配问题的适用性并不确定。为了克服这一问题,本文提出了一种离线数据驱动的双代模型框架(ODDF),该框架考虑了历史匹配中代模型的预测误差,其中一个代模型预测油藏生产数据,另一个代模型学习前一个代模型的预测误差。第一个代用模型使用递归神经网络考虑生产数据的时间序列特征,而第二个代用模型使用全卷积神经网络考虑多元预测误差的二维空间相关特征。此外,还应用了一个增强误差模型,将预测误差纳入目标函数,以减少预测误差对反演结果的影响。基于这一混合框架,当代用模型的架构或超参数不是最优时,可以提高历史匹配中代用模型的预测精度。此外,基于代用模型的历史匹配和不确定性量化也能获得令人满意的结果。所提出的框架在二维和三维储层模型的历史匹配中得到了验证。结果表明,所提出的方法在构建代用模型和预测储层生产数据方面具有很强的鲁棒性,提高了历史匹配的效率和可靠性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An offline data-driven dual-surrogate framework considering prediction error for history matching

High computer power has long been a critical ingredient that affects the effectiveness and efficiency of history matching. Data-driven surrogate modeling as an efficient strategy can accelerate the history-matching process by constructing machine learning-based models with high computing speed but reduced accuracy. However, the applicability of surrogate models for different history-matching problems is uncertain due to the influence of data quality and quantity, model architectures, and hyperparameters. To overcome this issue, an offline data-driven dual-surrogate framework (ODDF) that considers the prediction error of surrogate models for history matching is proposed, where one surrogate model predicts the production data of reservoirs and the other one learns the prediction error of the former surrogate. The first surrogate model considers the time-series characteristics of production data using a recurrent neural network, while the second surrogate model regards the two-dimensional spatial correlation characteristics of multivariate prediction error using a fully convolutional neural network. Furthermore, an enhanced error model is applied to incorporate the prediction error into the objective function to reduce the influence of the prediction error on inversion results. Based on this hybrid framework, one can improve the prediction accuracy of surrogate models in history matching when the architectures or hyperparameters of surrogate models are not optimal. Additionally, one can obtain satisfactory results for history matching and uncertainty quantification based on surrogate modeling. The proposed framework is validated on the history matching of two- and three-dimensional reservoir models. The results show that the proposed method is robust in constructing the surrogate models and predicting the production data of reservoirs, which improves the efficiency and reliability of history matching.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Computers & Geosciences
Computers & Geosciences 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
6.80%
发文量
164
审稿时长
3.4 months
期刊介绍: Computers & Geosciences publishes high impact, original research at the interface between Computer Sciences and Geosciences. Publications should apply modern computer science paradigms, whether computational or informatics-based, to address problems in the geosciences.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信