基于两阶段深度学习的绿色供应链金融风险识别研究

IF 3.7 4区 管理学 Q2 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作为金融服务与绿色产业升级的共振产物,绿色供应链金融在生态文明建设过程中受到广泛关注。有效推动中小企业绿色转型,实现 "双碳 "目标,必须规避企业绿色风险。然而,由于绿色供应链金融企业之间复杂的相互依存关系和信息不对称,导致数据具有多源小样本、高维不平衡等特点。针对这些问题,本文提出了一种基于两阶段深度学习的风险评估模型。在第一阶段,我们采用生成对抗网络(GAN)生成少数类违约样本,并利用堆栈自动编码器(SAE)提取具有闭式参数计算能力的数据特征。第二阶段,将获得的特征输入深度神经网络(DNN),通过联合训练进行参数学习和模型优化。最后,为了建立低阶特征交互模型,我们集成了支持向量机(SVM)算法。本文立足于企业的绿色创新生产,收集了 176 家上下游企业 2013 年至 2022 年的财务数据和相应的核心企业绿色指标。实验结果表明,GAN 超采样技术不仅提高了模型的 AUC 指标,还显著提高了 F1 分数。与传统的深度学习方法相比,所提出的两阶段深度融合模型有效地减少了训练损耗,在识别绿色供应链金融风险方面表现出优越性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research on green supply chain finance risk identification based on two-stage deep learning

As a resonance product between financial services and the upgrading of the green industry, green supply chain finance has garnered extensive attention in the process of ecological civilization construction. Effectively promoting the green transformation of small and medium-sized enterprises and achieving the "dual carbon" goals necessitate the avoidance of corporate green risks. However, the complex interdependence and information asymmetry among green supply chain finance enterprises result in data characteristics such as multi-source small samples and high-dimensional imbalance. To address these issues, this paper proposes a risk assessment model based on two-stage deep learning. In the first stage, we employ Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) to generate minority class default samples, and utilize Stacked Auto-Encoder (SAE) to extract data features with closed-form parameter calculation capability. In the second stage, the obtained features are input into a Deep Neural Network (DNN), and parameter learning and model optimization are conducted through joint training. Finally, to model low-order feature interactions, we integrate the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm. The paper is grounded in the green innovation production of enterprises, collecting financial data of 176 upstream and downstream enterprises and corresponding core enterprise green indicators from 2013 to 2022. Experimental results demonstrate that GAN oversampling technique not only enhances the model's AUC metric but also significantly improves the F1 score. Compared with traditional deep learning methods, the proposed two-stage deep integration model effectively reduces training loss and exhibits superiority in identifying green supply chain finance risks.

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来源期刊
Operations Research Perspectives
Operations Research Perspectives Mathematics-Statistics and Probability
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
36
审稿时长
27 days
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