基于地理信息系统的阿尔桑扎克港后方地区海平面上升和洪水风险评估

Yağmur Burcu Güneş, Kamile Öztürk Kösenciğ, Ayça Aleyna Günbek
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据政府间气候变化专门委员会第六次评估报告中概述的气候变化预测,预计到 2150 年,海平面将上升 0.37 至 1.88 米。海平面的上升对沿海地区,包括经常在港口周围开发的工业遗产区构成重大威胁。阿尔桑扎克港后方地区因其重要的工业遗产而成为一个重要地点。研究的主要目的是评估阿尔桑扎克港后方地区与洪水和长期海平面上升有关的潜在风险。因此,研究旨在评估阿尔桑扎克港后地区在工业遗产背景下与洪水和长期海平面上升相关的潜在风险。研究还衡量了该地区对这些风险的抵御能力,并讨论了规划决策。利用 "沿海风险筛选工具",根据确定的三种不同情况绘制了沿海洪水地图。结果表明,煤气厂、老面粉厂二期和塔里什酒精厂等宝贵的工业遗产建筑、新建高层住宅区、港口设施和交通干道面临高风险或中等风险,尤其是在 2100 年和 2150 年。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
GIS-Based Risk Assessment on Sea Level Rise and Flooding in Alsancak Harbour Behind Area
According to climate change projections outlined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 6th Assessment Report, sea levels are expected to rise between 0.37 and 1.88 meters by 2150. The rise in sea level poses a significant threat to coastal areas, including industrial heritage zones frequently developed around ports. Alsancak Harbour Behind Area is a significant location due to its essential industrial heritage. The main objective of the research is to evaluate the potential risks related to floods and long-term sea level rises in the Alsancak Harbour Behind Area. Thus, the research aims to assess the potential risks associated with flooding and long-term sea level rise in the Alsancak Harbour Behind Area within the context of industrial heritage. It also measures the area's resilience to these risks and discusses planning decisions. The ‘Coastal Risk Screening Tool’ was used to create a coastal flood map according to determined three different scenarios. The result shows that the valuable industrial heritage buildings such as the Coal Gas Factory, Old Flour Mill-II and Tariş Alcohol Factory, new high-rise residential areas, port facilities and transportation arteries are at high or medium risk, especially in 2100 and 2150.
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