COVID-19 后关于可持续发展目标 9 和 12 的德尔菲-模糊德尔菲研究:巴西案例研究

Isabela Caroline de Sousa, T. Sigahi, Izabella Rampasso, G. H. S. M. Moraes, W. Leal Filho, João Henrique Paulino Pires Eustachio, R. Anholon
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引用次数: 0

摘要

COVID-19 大流行影响了所有可持续发展目标(SDGs),导致拉丁美洲各国出现倒退。在巴西,技术发展和组织采用可持续做法方面的进展受到严重阻碍。然而,人们对其对国家发展的长期影响的了解仍然有限,也缺乏一个结构化的国家恢复和恢复可持续发展目标进展的计划。本文旨在研究 COVID-19 在巴西这样一个后发国家的背景下对可持续发展目标 9(工业、创新和基础设施)和 12(可持续消费和生产)的影响。这项研究采用了基于德尔菲的情景模拟和模糊德尔菲方法,15 位在巴西工业领域具有丰富经验的可持续发展专家参与了研究。研究结果阐明了大流行病对这些可持续发展目标的长期影响,重点关注巴西的社会经济状况和发展挑战。大流行病加剧了原有问题,阻碍了基础设施现代化、技术投资和可持续实践。研究经费不足、工业现代化和小企业整合进一步阻碍了进展。此外,本文还确定了对研究、公司和公共政策的影响,旨在为促进后大流行病时代的可持续发展提供可行的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Delphi–Fuzzy Delphi Study on SDGs 9 and 12 after COVID-19: Case Study in Brazil
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), leading to setbacks in various Latin American countries. In Brazil, progress in technological development and the adoption of sustainable practices by organizations has been significantly hindered. Yet, there remains a limited understanding of the long-term impacts on the country’s development, and a structured national plan for recovery and resuming progress toward the SDGs is lacking. This paper aims to investigate the repercussions of COVID-19 on SDGs 9 (industry, innovation, and infrastructure) and 12 (sustainable consumption and production) in the context of a latecomer country such as Brazil. This study adopted the Delphi-based scenario and Fuzzy Delphi approach and involved the participation of 15 sustainability experts with extensive experience in the Brazilian industrial sector. The findings elucidate the long-term impacts of the pandemic on these SDGs, focusing on Brazil’s socioeconomic landscape and developmental challenges. The pandemic worsened pre-existing issues, hindering infrastructure modernization, technological investment, and sustainable practices. Insufficient research funding, industry modernization, and small business integration further impede progress. Additionally, the paper identifies implications for research, companies, and public policies, aiming to provide actionable insights for fostering sustainable development in the post-pandemic era.
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