利用 GPS 数据校准城市环境中的微观交通模拟

Christopher Stang, Klaus Bogenberger
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摘要

准确的交通模型对于基础扎实的交通工程具有决定性的重要意义,同时也是交通需求建模等综合模拟研究的基本框架。使用路段交通流量和车速测量是校准现实交通模拟的常用方法,但数据采集过程可能会耗费大量成本。从学术角度来看,已经有许多研究涉及校准问题。在这方面,微观模拟软件 SUMO 提供了 flowrouter 和 routesampler 工具,用于在交通流量测量的基础上生成网络模拟。在本文中,我们提出了一种利用 GPS 数据中的车辆计数和车速测量来校准微观交通模拟的稳健方法。所开发的方法是一个两步优化过程:首先应用整数线性规划(ILP)进行先验优化,然后采用进化算法最大限度地减小真实交通数据与模拟交通数据之间的后验偏差。作为概念验证,建议的方法在弗里德里希港内城的子网络模型中进行了测试,并与 SUMO 的即用工具进行了比较。与 SUMO 提供的上述功能相比,建议的方法在模拟数据和真实交通数据之间显示出良好的相关性,并显示出更好的校准结果。由于该方法与网络无关,因此也为大规模交通校准提供了可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Calibration of Microscopic Traffic Simulation in an Urban Environment Using GPS-Data
Accurate traffic models are of decisive importance for well-founded traffic engineering and represent the basic framework for comprehensive simulation studies as modelling of traffic demand. Using traffic count and speed measurements of road segments is a common approach for the calibration of a realistic traffic simulation although the data acquisition process can be at very extensive costs. From an academical point of view, there have been many studies addressing the problem of calibration. In this respect, the microscopic simulation software SUMO offers the usage of the tools flowrouter and routesampler for generating network simulations on the base of traffic count measurements. In this paper, we propose a robust method for the calibration of microscopic traffic simulations by using vehicle count and speed measurements from collected GPS-data. The developed approach is a two-step optimization process: The application of integer linear programming (ILP) as a priori optimization is followed by adopting an evolutionary algorithm for minimizing the a posteriori deviation between real and simulated traffic data. As a proof of concept, the proposed method is tested in a subnet-work model of the inner city of Friedrichshafen and compared with the ready-to-use tools from SUMO. The suggested method indicates a promising correlation between simulated and real traffic data showing better calibration results in comparison to the aforementioned functions SUMO provides. Since the approach is network-independent, it also offers the possibility of large-scale traffic calibration.
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