时间序列交叉序列预测

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
K. Koparanov, E. Antonova, D. Minkovska, K. Georgiev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在现代运输业中,庞大而多样的信息阵列,尤其是包括时间序列数据在内的信息阵列,正在迅速扩大。这种增长为提高预测质量提供了机遇。研究人员和从业人员正在不断开发创新工具,以预测其未来值。研究的目标是以系统化和结构化的方式提高自动预测环境的性能。本文研究了在模型开发的训练阶段用另一个类似性质的时间序列替代初始时间序列的效果。为此采用了金融数据集和先知模型。结果表明,尽管对预测未来值的准确性影响不大,但还是很有希望的。根据获得的结果,得出了有价值的结论,并提出了进一步改进的建议。通过强调纳入多样化数据的重要性,本研究有助于做出明智的选择,并充分利用现有信息的全部潜力,以获得更精确的预测结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Time Series Cross-Sequence Prediction
In the modern transport industry, vast and diverse information arrays, particularly those including time series data, are rapidly expanding. This growth presents an opportunity to improve the quality of forecasting. Researchers and practitioners are continuously developing innovative tools to predict their future values. The goal of the research is to improve the performance of automated forecasting environments in a systematic and structured way. This paper investigates the effect of substituting the initial time series with another of a similar nature, during the training phase of the model’s development. A financial data set and the Prophet model are employed for this objective. It is observed that the impact on the accuracy of the predicted future values is promising, albeit not significant. Based on the obtained results, valuable conclusions are drawn, and recommendations for further improvements are provided. By highlighting the importance of diverse data incorporation, this research assists in making informed choices and leveraging the full potential of available information for more precise forecasting outcomes.
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来源期刊
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics
WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
180
期刊介绍: WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics publishes original research papers relating to the global economy. We aim to bring important work using any economic approach to a wide international audience and therefore only publish papers of exceptional scientific value that advance our understanding of finances. The research presented must transcend the limits of case studies, while both experimental and theoretical studies are accepted. While its main emphasis is economic, it is a multi-disciplinary journal and therefore its content mirrors the diverse interests and approaches of scholars involved with the international dimensions of business, economics, finance, history, law, marketing, management, political science, and related areas. It also welcomes scholarly contributions from officials with government agencies, international agencies, and non-governmental organizations.
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