制裁对俄罗斯全球经济关系的影响

L. Basovskiy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该著作根据各国经济发展最重要指标--经济增长率--之间关系的变化,评估了制裁对世界经济关系的影响。通过确定反俄制裁实施前后--2005-2012 年和 2014-2022 年--各国经济增长率的相关性,对世界经济关系、工作中各国经济互动的密切程度进行了评估。通过评估世界经济联系的密切程度得出的结果表明,在美国倡议下实施的反俄制裁对国际经济关系产生了重大且非常复杂的影响。首先,尽管美国发起的制裁具有反俄性质,但实际上并没有破坏俄罗斯与美国的关系。这表明,美国在实施制裁时,期望制裁不仅能打击俄罗斯经济,还能打击美国最发达伙伴的经济,如欧盟国家、英国和日本。这反过来又可以刺激美国经济的发展。其次,制裁改变了俄罗斯的世界经济联系结构,增加了俄罗斯经济与中国和新加坡的紧密联系。摩洛哥,保持了俄罗斯与白俄罗斯、印度和印度尼西亚的联系。反俄制裁一方面限制了俄罗斯的世界经济联系,另一方面也为俄罗斯与新的快速发展的大国发展经济联系提供了机会。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Sanctions on Russia's Global Economic Relations
The work assesses the impact of sanctions on world economic relations based on changes in the relationships between the most important indicators of economic development of countries — economic growth rates. An assessment of world economic relations, the degree of closeness of economic interaction between countries in the work is given by determining the correlations of economic growth rates in countries for the periods before and after the introduction of antiRussian sanctions — for the period 2005–2012 and for the period 2014–2022. The results obtained from assessing the closeness of world economic ties indicate that anti-Russian sanctions introduced at the initiative of the United States have had a significant and very complex impact on international economic relations. Firstly, despite the anti-Russian nature of the sanctions, which were initiated by the United States, they practically did not disrupt Russia’s ties with the United States. This suggests that the sanctions were introduced with the expectation that they would strike not only the Russian economy, but also the economies of the most developed partners of the United States, such as the EU countries, Great Britain, and Japan. This in turn can serve as a stimulus for the development of the US economy. Secondly, sanctions have changed the structure of Russia’s world economic ties and increased the closeness of ties between the Russian economy and China and Singapore. Morocco, preserved Russia’s ties with Belarus, India, and Indonesia. Anti-Russian sanctions, on the one hand, limited Russia’s world economic ties; on the other hand, they opened up opportunities for the development of economic ties with new large and rapidly developing countries.
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