全球化如何影响撒哈拉以南非洲国家的非正规性?

Munacinga C. Simatele, Segun Thompson Bolarinwa
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摘要

本文以 30 个非洲国家为研究对象,探讨了撒哈拉以南非洲地区错综复杂的非正规经济与全球化之间的关系。本研究采用矩量回归法(MM-QR),利用全球化的三个衡量标准:整体全球化、经济全球化和贸易全球化,分析了这一关系。此外,还从五个方面探讨了制度质量的中介作用。实证结果证实,不同的全球化衡量标准和不同的量级之间存在负相关关系,这表明全球化程度的提高往往会抑制非正规经济活动。此外,全球化与制度质量的互动模型也验证了两者之间的负相关关系。对制度质量各维度的调查强调了它们在形成非正规经济动态中的重要性。法律与秩序 "维度在减少非正规性方面发挥了显著作用,强调了健全的法律框架和有效的治理结构在促进正规经济活动方面的重要性。同时,腐败对非正规经济活动的不利影响也凸显了为鼓励正规化和经济发展而共同努力打击腐败的必要性。通过使用矩量回归法,本文提供了一个细致入微的视角,考虑了非正规经济分布中不同部分的差异。这种方法加深了我们对全球化和制度对非洲非正规性影响的异质性的理解。总之,本文通过纳入制度质量的中介影响,推进了关于非正规性与全球化关系的讨论。研究结果强调了这一关系的多面性,并强调有必要针对全球化和制度层面采取全面的政策干预措施。通过揭示影响非正规性的错综复杂的因素网络,本研究为旨在实现非洲各国可持续经济发展和包容性增长的循证战略奠定了基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How does globalisation affect informality in sub‐Saharan African countries?
This paper examines the intricate informality‐globalisation nexus in the sub‐Saharan African context using 30 African countries. Using the Method of Moments Quantile Regression approach (MM‐QR), this study analyses the nexus using three measures of globalisation: overall, economic and trade globalisation. Furthermore, the mediating role of institutional quality is explored using five dimensions of institutional quality. The empirical results confirm a negative relationship across different measures of globalisation and different quantiles, signifying that increased globalisation tends to suppress informal economic activities. Moreover, the interactive models of globalisation and institutional quality also validate the negative relationship in the nexus. The investigation into the dimensions of institutional quality underscores their importance in shaping informality dynamics. The ‘law and order’ dimension demonstrates a notable role in reducing informality, emphasising the significance of robust legal frameworks and effective governance structures in fostering formal economic activities. Simultaneously, the adverse impact of corruption on informality highlights the need for concerted efforts to combat corruption for the sake of encouraging formalisation and economic development. By utilising the Method of Moments Quantile Regression method, this paper offers a nuanced perspective that considers variations across different segments of the informality distribution. This approach enhances our understanding of the heterogeneity in the effects of globalisation and institutions on informality within the African context. In conclusion, this paper advances the discourse on the informality‐globalisation nexus by incorporating the mediating influence of institutional quality. The findings underscore the multifaceted nature of the relationship and emphasise the need for holistic policy interventions that address both globalisation and institutional dimensions. By shedding light on the intricate web of factors impacting informality, this study provides a foundation for evidence‐based strategies aimed at sustainable economic development and inclusive growth across African nations.
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